PSIM Yogyakarta - PSM Makassar prediction 16 October 2026
PSIM Yogyakarta
PSM Makassar
Adhyaksa Farmel FCPSIM YogyakartaBhayangkara Surabaya UnitedPSIM YogyakartaPSIM YogyakartaPSM MakassarPSIM YogyakartaPersija JakartaMadura UnitedPSIM YogyakartaPersebaya SurabayaPSIM YogyakartaPSIM YogyakartaPersita TangerangArema IndonesiaPSIM YogyakartaPSIM YogyakartaMadura UnitedPSIM YogyakartaMalut UnitedPersib BandungPSIM YogyakartaPSIM YogyakartaPersita TangerangPSIM YogyakartaPersija JakartaBhayangkara Surabaya UnitedPSIM YogyakartaPSIM YogyakartaPSM MakassarBhayangkara Surabaya UnitedPSM MakassarPSM MakassarPersebaya SurabayaPSIM YogyakartaPSM MakassarPSS SlemanPSM MakassarPSM MakassarPersita TangerangPSM MakassarArema IndonesiaPersib BandungPSM MakassarMadura UnitedPSM MakassarPSM MakassarPersib BandungArema IndonesiaPSM MakassarPSM MakassarBhayangkara Surabaya UnitedBali United PersisamPSM MakassarPSM MakassarPersik KediriPSM MakassarBorneo SamarindaPSIM YogyakartaPSM MakassarPSIM YogyakartaPSM MakassarPSIM YogyakartaPSM MakassarPSM MakassarPSIM Yogyakarta| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Persija Jakarta | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Dewa United Banten FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:10 | +2 | 14 |
| 3 |  Bali United Persisam | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:8 | +12 | 13 |
| 4 |  Persib Bandung | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  Madura United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Persita Tangerang | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 |  Persebaya Surabaya | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Bhayangkara Surabaya United | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11:8 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Persik Kediri | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Arema Indonesia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 | PSM Makassar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Malut United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 |  Borneo Samarinda | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Garudayaksa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  Adhyaksa Farmel FC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 5 |
| 16 |  PSS Sleman | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 2 |
| 18 |  Persijap Jepara | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3:15 | -12 | 1 |
PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar Prediction (Oct 16)
The PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar prediction for this Liga 1 fixture on Oct 16 at 09:30 points towards a tightly contested match where the visitors hold a slight edge. Based on the available data, PSM Makassar has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and PSIM Yogyakarta has a 25% probability of securing a home victory.
Team Form
PSIM Yogyakarta are struggling for form, with their last five matches showing four losses and one draw (L, L, L, D, L). Their most recent outing was a heavy 0-4 home defeat against Persija Jakarta on Oct 10. They have managed to score just 2 goals in these five games while conceding 11.
PSM Makassar are also without a win in their last five, recording three draws and two losses (D, D, L, L, L). Their recent matches have been high-scoring affairs, including a 2-2 home draw with Persita Tangerang and a 3-3 draw against Arema Indonesia. They have scored 8 goals but conceded 12 in this period.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these two sides is limited to two recent Liga 1 encounters. PSM Makassar have the upper hand with one win and one draw. PSIM Yogyakarta have yet to beat PSM Makassar, with no home wins, no away wins, and one draw in the fixture.
- Apr 10, 2026: PSIM Yogyakarta 1-2 PSM Makassar
- Sep 27, 2025: PSM Makassar 0-0 PSIM Yogyakarta
League Table Positions
PSIM Yogyakarta are not listed in the top 12 of the overall Liga 1 standings, indicating a position in the lower half of the table. PSM Makassar currently sit in 12th place with 2 points from 3 matches, having recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 8. In the away standings, PSM Makassar are not in the top 8, suggesting their away form has been a challenge.
Win Probability: PSIM Yogyakarta or PSM Makassar?
After analyzing the odds, form, and head-to-head record, the calculated win probabilities are: PSIM Yogyakarta win 25%, draw 35%, PSM Makassar win 40%. The base calculation uses the inverse of the bookmaker odds (home 2.82, draw 2.08, away 3.35), which implies a high probability for the draw. This is adjusted slightly in favor of PSM Makassar due to their unbeaten head-to-head record and PSIM Yogyakarta's poor recent form, which includes four losses in five matches. The conclusion is that PSM Makassar are more likely to win, but a draw is a very strong possibility.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available odds from bookmakers price a home win for PSIM Yogyakarta at 2.82, a draw at a very short 2.08, and an away win for PSM Makassar at 3.35. The odds clearly indicate that the bookmakers see the draw as the most likely outcome. Based on the stats, the head-to-head advantage, and PSIM Yogyakarta's losing streak, the prediction leans towards a draw or an away win. A 1-1 draw or a narrow 1-2 victory for PSM Makassar are the most probable scorelines.
PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar โ FAQ
- Who will win PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar?
- Based on the analysis, PSM Makassar has a 40% chance of winning, while PSIM Yogyakarta has a 25% chance. The draw is a very strong possibility at 35%. PSM Makassar are the more likely winners, but the match is expected to be close.
- What is the win probability for PSM Makassar?
- PSM Makassar has a 40% probability of winning the match. This is based on their superior head-to-head record against PSIM Yogyakarta and the home side's poor form, which shows four losses in their last five games.
- When is the PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, with a kick-off time of 09:30. It is a Liga 1 fixture being played in Indonesia.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds for the match are 2.82 for a PSIM Yogyakarta home win, 2.08 for a draw, and 3.35 for a PSM Makassar away win. The bookmakers' odds strongly favor the draw as the most likely outcome.
- What is the head-to-head record between PSIM Yogyakarta and PSM Makassar?
- In their last two meetings, PSM Makassar have one win and there has been one draw. PSIM Yogyakarta have not won against PSM Makassar in these encounters, with the most recent match on Apr 10, 2026 ending in a 2-1 victory for PSM Makassar.