PSMS Medan - Persikad Depok prediction 3 October 2026

The PSMS Medan vs Persikad Depok prediction for this Liga 2 clash on October 3, 2026, points towards a home victory. PSMS Medan enter the match as clear favorites with a 50% win probability, while Persikad Depok are given a 20% chance of an away upset and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

PSMS Medan are unbeaten in their last five outings but have drawn three of them (W, W, D, D, D). Their most recent result was a 1-0 away win at Bekasi City on September 27, preceded by a stunning 6-0 home demolition of Persiku Kudus. The three draws all finished 1-1 or 2-2, highlighting a tendency to share the points.

Persikad Depok come into this match in excellent form with four wins from their last five (W, W, W, L, W). They have won three straight Liga 2 fixtures: 2-1 at home to Persiraja Banda Aceh, 2-1 away at Bekasi City, and 2-1 at home to PSGC Ciamis. The only blemish was a 3-1 defeat at Garudayaksa back in May, but since then they have been consistently picking up victories.

Head-to-Head Record

The last three meetings between these sides have all gone the way of Persikad Depok or ended level. PSMS Medan have yet to record a win (0W, 2D, 1L). The most recent encounter on April 5, 2026, finished 2-2 at Persikad Depok. Earlier in 2026, Persikad Depok won 1-0 at home, and in October 2025 the teams drew 1-1 in Medan. The head-to-head record clearly favours the away side, with PSMS Medan struggling to break down their opponents.

Win Probability: PSMS Medan or Persikad Depok?

Based on the available odds, team form, and head-to-head statistics, the win probabilities for this match are as follows:

• PSMS Medan win: 50%
• Draw: 30%
• Persikad Depok win: 20%

The bookmakers' odds imply a home win probability of around 55%, but that figure has been adjusted downward due to PSMS Medan's high number of recent draws and Persikad Depok's strong form. The head-to-head record also shows PSMS Medan have never beaten Persikad Depok in three attempts. While home advantage gives PSMS Medan the edge, a draw is a very realistic outcome, and Persikad Depok cannot be ruled out entirely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have installed PSMS Medan as the favourites. The best available odds at the time of writing are around 1.40 for a home win, 2.40 for the draw, and 5.50 for an away victory. These odds reflect the market's expectation of a home success, but the value may lie in the draw given the recent history between the teams.

Our PSMS Medan vs Persikad Depok prediction: PSMS Medan are the more likely winners, but the stats suggest a tight contest. A low-scoring home win or a draw are the most probable outcomes. Betting tips would lean towards a home win with caution, or the draw as an alternative.