PSS Sleman - Borneo Samarinda prediction 27 October 2026

The PSS Sleman vs Borneo Samarinda prediction for October 27, 2026, points towards an away win in this Liga 1 clash. Borneo Samarinda hold a clear edge based on recent form, and our win probability model gives them a 40% chance, compared to 25% for PSS Sleman and 35% for the draw. The match kicks off at 08:30, with the visitors expected to control proceedings.

Team Form

PSS Sleman come into this fixture in poor shape. Their last five results read L, D, W, L, L, including a 2-1 loss at Persik Kediri on October 22 and a 1-3 home defeat to Madura United on September 12. The solitary win during this run was a 3-0 home success over PSM Makassar, but they have failed to build momentum, losing three of those five matches.

Borneo Samarinda, by contrast, are flying. Their last five outings show W, W, L, D, W across all competitions. They recorded a 3-1 victory at Tainan City in the AFC Challenge League and a 2-0 home win over Yangon United. Their only setback was a narrow 1-2 loss at Malut United in the league, but they bounced back with a 1-0 home win against Bali United Persisam. This excellent recent form gives them a psychological edge.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head history between these sides is extremely limited. The only meeting available in the data ended in a 0-0 draw, played on December 12, 2022, with Borneo Samarinda as the home side. There have been no wins for either team, making the H2H record inconclusive for this prediction. However, the stalemate suggests that tight encounters are possible.

League Table Positions

Neither PSS Sleman nor Borneo Samarinda feature among the top 12 in the current Liga 1 standings. The table leaders are Persija Jakarta with 15 points from 6 matches, while the last listed side, PSM Makassar, sits 12th with 8 points. The absence of both teams from the top half implies they are struggling in the lower reaches, though exact positions are unavailable. Given Borneo’s superior recent results, they are likely placed higher but still outside the top 12.

Win Probability: PSS Sleman or Borneo Samarinda?

The win probability calculation is mandatory for this PSS Sleman vs Borneo Samarinda prediction. Based on a normalized odds analysis adjusted by form, head-to-head, and the missing league table advantage, the outcome chances are:

• Borneo Samarinda win: 40%
• Draw: 35%
• PSS Sleman win: 25%

The odds implied a relatively balanced match with a slight lean towards the away side. However, the stark contrast in recent results—PSS Sleman with one win in five, Borneo with three wins in five—shifts the probability noticeably in favor of the visitors. The home advantage for PSS Sleman is not enough to offset their poor performances.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this contest as leaning towards an away win, though margins vary. The best odds available from the data show an away win for Borneo Samarinda at 2.22, while a home win for PSS Sleman is priced at 2.90, and the draw at 3.75. Some bookmakers have offered much tighter lines, with draws dropping as low as 2.28 and home wins as short as 2.62, indicating uncertainty. Nevertheless, the overall market sentiment favours Borneo.

Based on the stats, our PSS Sleman vs Borneo Samarinda prediction is a likely away victory, but with a high chance of a stalemate. The recommended betting tips would be to consider the double chance (Borneo or Draw) given the visitors’ resilience and the draw-heavy head-to-head history.