Persik Kediri - PSS Sleman prediction 22 October 2026

The Persik Kediri vs PSS Sleman prediction for this Liga 1 clash on Oct 22 at 09:30 points towards a home advantage. Based on the odds and recent form, Persik Kediri enters as the favorite with a calculated win probability of approximately 45%, while PSS Sleman faces an uphill battle away from home.

Team Form

Persik Kediri's recent results are mixed but show resilience at home. In their last five matches, their record is L, W, D, W, L. They secured a solid 2-0 home win against Madura United on Oct 9 and an away 2-0 victory over Garudayaksa on Sep 11. However, a 0-1 home loss to Dewa United Banten FC on Sep 5 and a 0-1 away defeat to Persib Bandung on Oct 18 highlight some inconsistency.

PSS Sleman's away form is a major concern. Their last five results are D, W, L, L, L. They managed a 3-0 home win over PSM Makassar on Oct 11, but their away performances have been poor: a 1-2 loss at Bali United Persisam on Sep 4, a 1-2 loss at Dewa United Banten FC on Sep 20, and a 2-2 draw at Persebaya Surabaya on Oct 18. The team has struggled to secure points on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is largely balanced, with draws being a common outcome. In the last 7 meetings, PSS Sleman has 2 wins, Persik Kediri has 1 win, and there have been 4 draws. The most recent encounter on Jan 19, 2025, ended in a 0-0 stalemate at Persik Kediri. Earlier matches include a 2-2 draw at PSS Sleman in 2023 and a 2-1 home win for PSS Sleman in February 2023. This history suggests tightly contested matches are the norm.

League Table Positions

In the Liga 1 overall standings, Persik Kediri sits in 9th place with 7 points from 5 matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding 3. PSS Sleman is not in the top 12 overall table provided. However, looking at the away standings, Persik Kediri holds 4th place with 4 points from 3 away matches (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss). The home table does not feature PSS Sleman, indicating their road form is likely a weakness. Persik Kediri's strong defensive record, conceding only 3 goals, gives them a structural advantage.

Win Probability: Persik Kediri or PSS Sleman?

Based on the provided data, the calculated win probabilities are: Persik Kediri has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and PSS Sleman has a 20% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the average odds (home: 1.85, draw: 2.48, away: 3.97) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then slightly adjusted for the strong head-to-head draw trend (4 draws in 7 games) and PSS Sleman's poor away form. Persik Kediri's home status and superior defensive stats make them the more likely winner, but the history of stalemates pushes the draw probability higher than a standard match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Persik Kediri as the clear favorite. The available pre-match 1X2 odds show home win odds ranging from 1.80 to 1.91, the draw between 2.18 and 3.63, and an away win for PSS Sleman from 3.90 to 4.05. These betting tips align with the form analysis: the odds heavily discount an away victory. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is a low-scoring affair, with Persik Kediri having the edge, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the head-to-head record.