Puente Alto - Aguara prediction 22 August 2026

Puente Alto vs Aguara prediction for the Tercera Division match on Aug 22, 2026, at 00:00 UTC. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Aguara has a 40% chance of winning, while Puente Alto has a 30% chance, and the draw is at 30%. Read on for our full Puente Alto vs Aguara prediction and betting tips.

Team Form

Puente Alto's recent form has been poor. In their last five matches, they have recorded one win and four losses (L, W, L, L, L). Their only victory came on Aug 09, 2026, when they beat Futuro FC 0-1 away. The other results were defeats: a 2-1 loss at CDS Constitucion Unido on Aug 15, a heavy 1-5 home loss to CD Rancagua Sur on Aug 01, a 3-1 loss at Deportes Naval de Talcahuano on Jul 25, and a 2-1 loss at Malleco Unido on Jul 12. This run shows defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 13 goals in those five games.

Aguara's form is slightly better, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five (D, L, W, L, D). They drew 1-1 at home against CD Rancagua Sur on Aug 16, lost 2-1 at Deportes Naval de Talcahuano on Aug 08, beat Chimbarongo 1-0 at home on Aug 02, lost 1-0 at Malleco Unido on Jul 25, and drew 0-0 at home with Imperial Unido on Jul 16. Aguara have been more solid defensively, conceding only 4 goals in these five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

Puente Alto and Aguara have faced each other twice, both in the Tercera Division. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced: one win for Puente Alto, one win for Aguara, and no draws. Interestingly, both wins came away from home. On Jul 05, 2025, Aguara won 1-2 at Puente Alto. Then on Oct 25, 2025, Puente Alto returned the favor with a 2-4 victory at Aguara. This suggests that home advantage has not been a decisive factor in this fixture.

Puente Alto vs Aguara Prediction: Win Probability

We calculate the win probabilities based on team form and head-to-head record. Puente Alto has a 30% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Aguara has a 40% chance. Aguara's slightly better recent form (1W, 2D, 2L vs 1W, 4L) gives them a small edge. The head-to-head record is even, but Puente Alto's poor defensive showing at home (conceding 5 goals in their last home match) tilts the balance toward the visitors. Aguara's defense has been more reliable, which could be key in a tight match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not currently available from bookmakers. However, based on the available stats, Aguara is the more likely winner. Our Puente Alto vs Aguara prediction leans towards an away win or a draw. A low-scoring match is probable, given Aguara's recent defensive record and Puente Alto's struggles in attack. A 0-1 or 1-1 scoreline seems realistic.