Deportes Copiapo - Puerto Montt prediction 3 October 2026

The Deportes Copiapo vs Puerto Montt prediction for October 3, 2026, points to a tight Primera B contest where the hosts hold a slight edge. Deportes Copiapo enters this match as the favorite with a 43% win probability, while Puerto Montt has a 27% chance and the draw sits at 30%. The game kicks off at 19:00 local time in Chile, and bookmakers see the home side as the more likely winner, but recent form and head-to-head history suggest a closely fought battle.

Team Form

Deportes Copiapo's last five matches show a mixed run: one win, one draw, and three losses. Their most recent result was a 4-1 away victory against Union San Felipe on September 26, which broke a three-game losing streak. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home to Magallanes and suffered defeats to San Marcos De Arica (2-1), Antofagasta (4-0), and Deportes Recoleta (2-1).

Puerto Montt's form is even more concerning, with four losses in their last five outings. Their only win in that span was a 2-0 home success against Curico Unido on September 5. Since then, they have lost to Rangers de Talca (2-1), Deportes Temuco (3-1), and Magallanes (2-0), and were beaten 4-0 at home by Deportes Iquique in late August. The visitors have struggled to find consistency, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

In 23 previous meetings, Deportes Copiapo has won 6 times, Puerto Montt has 9 wins, and 8 matches ended in draws. The most recent clash on July 18, 2026, finished 0-0 in Copiapo. Earlier in 2026, Puerto Montt won 2-0 at home. The head-to-head record shows a slight advantage for the away side historically, but the last encounter at this venue was a stalemate.

League Table Positions

Both teams are locked on 34 points after 25 matches in the Primera B standings. Deportes Copiapo sits 9th with a record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, having scored 37 goals and conceded 39. Puerto Montt is 10th with 10 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, netting 26 times and allowing 31 goals. The table highlights how evenly matched these sides are, with only goal difference separating them.

Win Probability: Deportes Copiapo or Puerto Montt?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head data, and home advantage, Deportes Copiapo has a 43% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Puerto Montt has a 27% chance. The odds-implied probabilities were adjusted slightly to reflect Deportes Copiapo's home status and Puerto Montt's poor recent away form. Despite the hosts' own inconsistent run, playing at home gives them a clear edge in a matchup where neither side has dominated historically.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Deportes Copiapo at 2.12 to win, the draw at 3.05, and a Puerto Montt victory at 3.30. These odds confirm the home team as the favorite, but the relatively high draw price suggests a tight contest is expected. Our Deportes Copiapo vs Puerto Montt prediction leans towards a home win, but the stats indicate a draw is a very realistic outcome. Given the low-scoring nature of recent meetings and both teams' struggles in front of goal, a 1-0 or 1-1 result appears the most likely scenario.