Puerto Nuevo Reserves - CA Fenix Pilar Reserves prediction 26 October 2026

The Puerto Nuevo Reserves vs CA Fenix Pilar Reserves prediction for October 8, 2026, points to a home victory in this Primera C Metropolitana Reserve clash. Puerto Nuevo Reserves are clear favorites with a 65% win probability, while the visitors have just a 12% chance of pulling off an upset. The match kicks off at 16:00 local time.

Team Form

Puerto Nuevo Reserves

Puerto Nuevo Reserves have managed only one win in their last five matches (W1 D1 L3), scoring just 4 goals and conceding 8. Their recent results:

• Sep 22: Sportivo Barracas Reserves 3-2 Puerto Nuevo Reserves (L)
• Sep 17: Puerto Nuevo Reserves 0-2 Lujan Reserves (L)
• Sep 8: CA Atlas Reserves 0-1 Puerto Nuevo Reserves (W)
• Sep 1: Puerto Nuevo Reserves 0-0 CSCyD Muniz Reserves (D)
• Aug 13: Puerto Nuevo Reserves 1-3 Deportivo Espanol Reserves (L)

Despite the poor run, they have shown some resilience at home with a draw and a narrow loss. However, the attack has been inconsistent, failing to score in three of those five outings.

CA Fenix Pilar Reserves

CA Fenix Pilar Reserves are in even worse shape, with four defeats in their last five outings (W1 L4). They have conceded a staggering 17 goals in this period, while scoring only 6. Their last five matches:

• Oct 1: CA Fenix Pilar Reserves 2-6 Sportivo Barracas Reserves (L)
• Sep 22: Lujan Reserves 3-0 CA Fenix Pilar Reserves (L)
• Sep 17: CA Fenix Pilar Reserves 0-4 CA Atlas Reserves (L)
• Sep 3: CA Fenix Pilar Reserves 3-4 Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves (L)
• Aug 28: Deportivo Espanol Reserves 0-1 CA Fenix Pilar Reserves (W)

Defensive frailties are glaring, and the team has kept just one clean sheet in this sequence. Away from home, they have lost both recent matches without scoring.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met only once before. On June 25, 2026, Puerto Nuevo Reserves thrashed CA Fenix Pilar Reserves 5-2 away from home. That dominant performance gives the visitors a psychological edge heading into this fixture and suggests a clear superiority in this matchup.

Win Probability: Puerto Nuevo Reserves or CA Fenix Pilar Reserves?

Based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, the win probabilities are calculated as follows:

• Puerto Nuevo Reserves win: 65%
• Draw: 23%
• CA Fenix Pilar Reserves win: 12%

The odds heavily favor the home side, with average implied probability of 65.8% before margin adjustment. Their superior head-to-head record and home advantage outweigh the recent inconsistent form. CA Fenix Pilar Reserves’ leaky defense and poor away performances make an away win highly unlikely. The draw remains a plausible outcome given both teams’ struggles, but the most probable result is a home victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Puerto Nuevo Reserves as short as 1.17 to win, with some offering 1.55. The draw is available at odds between 2.90 and 7.00, while an away win pays as high as 9.00. These odds reflect the gulf in class and the expectation of a home victory.

Prediction: Puerto Nuevo Reserves to win. Despite both teams’ poor form, the home side’s historical dominance and the visitors’ defensive woes point to a comfortable win. A correct score bet on 2-0 or 3-1 could offer value.