Xuan Thien Phu Tho FC Gia Dinh - PVF Cong An Nhan Dan FC prediction 22 October 2026

The Xuan Thien Phu Tho FC Gia Dinh vs PVF Cong An Nhan Dan FC prediction for October 22, 2026, points to a likely away victory in this V-League 2 clash. Based on head-to-head dominance, current form, and league standings, PVF Cong An Nhan Dan FC enters the match as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, while the home side struggles at just 15%.

Team Form

Xuan Thien Phu Tho FC Gia Dinh come into this fixture in poor shape. Their last five matches across all competitions read L, L, D, D, W. They suffered heavy defeats in their two most recent outings: a 2-0 loss away to Than Quang Ninh on October 17 and an 8-1 thrashing at Hung Yen FC on October 10. The only win in this sequence was a narrow 1-0 home victory over TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc back in June.

PVF Cong An Nhan Dan FC have been more consistent, with a form line of D, L, W, W, D. They drew 1-1 at home against Hung Yen FC on October 17 and lost 4-1 away to Sanna Khanh Hoa on October 11. However, they recorded a convincing 4-1 home cup win over Hue FC on October 6 and a 2-1 league victory against Dong Tam Long An in September. The away side has shown they can score goals and bounce back from setbacks.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical record heavily favors the visitors. In eight previous meetings, PVF Cong An Nhan Dan FC have won five, Xuan Thien Phu Tho FC Gia Dinh have won just one, and two ended in draws. The most recent encounter, on April 28, 2025, saw PVF Cong An Nhan Dan FC cruise to a 3-0 home win. The last time Xuan Thien Phu Tho FC Gia Dinh hosted this fixture, on December 9, 2023, they lost 1-0. Overall, the away side has kept clean sheets in three of the last four H2H matches.

League Table Positions

PVF Cong An Nhan Dan FC sit 7th in the V-League 2 standings with 4 points from 3 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss). They have scored 4 goals and conceded 6. Xuan Thien Phu Tho FC Gia Dinh are not listed in the top 12 of the league table, indicating they are positioned lower down the rankings. The home side’s exact points and record are unavailable, but their absence from the top half underscores their underdog status.

Win Probability: Xuan Thien Phu Tho FC Gia Dinh or PVF Cong An Nhan Dan FC?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are: Xuan Thien Phu Tho FC Gia Dinh 15%, draw 30%, PVF Cong An Nhan Dan FC 55%. These percentages are derived from bookmaker odds (home 4.60, draw 2.39, away 2.04 on average), then adjusted for the massive head-to-head gap (5 away wins in 8 meetings), the home team’s dreadful recent form (two heavy defeats), and the league table disparity. PVF Cong An Nhan Dan FC are clearly the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see PVF Cong An Nhan Dan FC as the favorite, offering odds around 2.04 for an away win. A draw is priced at approximately 2.39, while a home victory for Xuan Thien Phu Tho FC Gia Dinh is a long shot at 4.60. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is an away win. The visitors’ superior H2H record and the hosts’ leaky defense (conceding 10 goals in their last two away matches) suggest PVF Cong An Nhan Dan FC should secure all three points. A low-scoring affair is possible, but the away side’s attacking quality makes them the team to back.