Al Shamal - Qatar SC prediction 23 October 2026

The Al Shamal vs Qatar SC prediction for the Stars League match on October 23, 2026, at 15:30 points towards an Al Shamal victory, with the hosts holding a 54% win probability. Based on league standings and recent form, Al Shamal enters as the favorite against a Qatar SC side struggling near the foot of the table.

Team Form

Al Shamal's recent form shows a mixed bag of results across all competitions, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings (W, W, L, D, D). In the Stars League, they drew 0-0 away at Lusail on October 17 and suffered a 4-0 home defeat against Al Duhail on October 8. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 10 in their six league matches.

Qatar SC are winless in their last five matches, recording three draws, one win, and one loss (D, W, L, D, D). Their most recent league fixture saw them draw 2-2 away at Al Sailiya. With only 6 goals scored and 14 conceded in the league, their defensive frailties are a major concern. They have just one win in their last five across all competitions.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent head-to-head record between these two teams is evenly balanced. In the last five meetings, both Al Shamal and Qatar SC have recorded one win each, alongside two draws, with one match won by Al Shamal. The most recent clash on April 13, 2026, ended in a 2-0 home victory for Qatar SC. However, Al Shamal won the last encounter played exactly at this venue, a 2-1 result in the Stars Cup on February 13, 2026.

League Table Positions

Al Shamal sit 5th in the Stars League standings with 9 points from 6 matches, having won 2, drawn 3, and lost 1. They are comfortably positioned in the top half of the table. In contrast, Qatar SC are 11th with only 3 points, still searching for their first league win of the season (0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). At home, Al Shamal have taken 4 points from 3 games, while Qatar SC have managed just 3 points from 4 away matches.

Win Probability: Al Shamal or Qatar SC?

Based on the stats, Al Shamal has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Qatar SC has a 20% chance. Bookmakers' odds heavily favor Al Shamal, with the best home win price at 1.70. When adjusted for the bookmaker margin and factoring in Al Shamal's superior league position, better recent form, and the home advantage, the probability of a home win is clear. Qatar SC’s winless league run and poor goal difference significantly lower their chances of taking all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Al Shamal as the clear favorite to win this match, with home win odds ranging from 1.70 to 1.78. The draw is priced around 2.60 to 4.12, while an away win for Qatar SC is offered at odds between 3.50 and 3.80. Based on the form, H2H record, and standings, the most likely match outcome is an Al Shamal victory, though Qatar SC's recent head-to-head success adds an element of caution. The total goals market could be of interest, given Al Shamal's ability to score at home and Qatar SC's defensive struggles.