Qingdao Hainiu - Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren prediction 17 October 2026

Our Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren prediction for the China. Super League clash on Oct 17, 2026, at 12:35, gives Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren a 40% win probability, with the draw at 35% and Qingdao Hainiu at 25%. The match at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium sees the visitors as slight favorites according to bookmakers, but the home side's dominant head-to-head record could play a role.

Team Form

Qingdao Hainiu are in disastrous form, losing their last five matches in the Super League. They suffered defeats to Beijing Guoan (0-3), Dalian Zhixing (1-2 away), Wuhan Three Towns (1-5), Shanghai SIPG East Asia (1-2 away), and Shandong Luneng Taishan (1-3 away). The team has conceded 15 goals in these five games, averaging 3 per match.

Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren have also struggled, with two draws and three losses in their last five. They drew 1-1 at home to Wuhan Three Towns and 4-4 at home to Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen, but lost 0-1 at Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, 0-5 at Yunnan Yukun, and 1-2 at Chengdu Rongcheng. Their away form is particularly poor, with three consecutive away losses.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Qingdao Hainiu have dominated this fixture with 9 wins, 4 draws, and only 1 win for Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren. However, the most recent meeting on May 20, 2026, saw Liaoning win 2-1 at home. The last five encounters include two Qingdao wins, two draws, and that one Liaoning victory. The overall goal difference in these five matches is 7-3 in Qingdao's favor.

• May 20, 2026: Liaoning 2-1 Qingdao (Super League)
• May 21, 2025: Liaoning 0-0 Qingdao (FA Cup)
• Dec 3, 2022: Qingdao 2-0 Liaoning (League One)
• Nov 9, 2022: Liaoning 0-3 Qingdao (League One)
• Sep 28, 2019: Qingdao 0-0 Liaoning (League Two)

League Table Positions

The available league table data does not include Qingdao Hainiu or Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren in the top 12 positions, suggesting both teams are in the lower part of the China. Super League standings. This adds context to their recent poor form and the importance of this match for climbing the table.

Win Probability: Qingdao Hainiu or Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities: Qingdao Hainiu has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren has a 40% chance. The bookmakers' odds imply a higher probability for an away win, but Qingdao's historical dominance and home ground slightly increase their chances from the raw odds. Still, their current five-game losing streak makes them underdogs.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set odds ranging from 4.50 to 5.30 for a Qingdao Hainiu win, 2.45 to 4.60 for the draw, and 1.57 to 2.05 for a Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren victory. This clearly indicates that the visitors are the favorites. Our Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren prediction aligns with the odds, favoring an away win, but the high draw probability suggests a tight contest. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren, but a draw cannot be ruled out.