Our Puebla U19 Women vs Queretaro U19 Women prediction for this Liga MX U19 Women match on Oct 21, 2026, at 22:45 is that a draw is the most probable outcome, with Queretaro U19 Women having a slightly higher chance to win than the hosts. The win probability breakdown is 25% for Puebla, 43% for a draw, and 32% for Queretaro.
Puebla U19 Women are without a win in their last five matches (D1, L4). Their only point came in a 1-1 draw away at Deportivo Toluca U19 Women on Oct 10. The other four games ended in defeats: 2-0 at Pachuca U19 Women (Sep 26), 3-1 at Cruz Azul U19 Women (Aug 29), 0-3 at home to Toluca U19 Women (Aug 22), and a 1-0 loss to this opponent Queretaro U19 Women (Aug 15). They have scored just 2 goals in five while conceding 10.
Queretaro U19 Women have a slightly better recent record with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (L3, W1, D1). They lost 2-1 away at Unam Pumas U19 Women (Oct 17), 2-1 at home to Toluca U19 Women (Sep 26), and 2-0 at Pachuca U19 Women (Sep 12). Their lone victory was a 1-0 home win over Unam Pumas U19 Women (Sep 5), and they drew 1-1 at home to FC Juarez U19 Women (Aug 29). Overall, theyโve scored 4 goals and conceded 8 in that period.
Queretaro U19 Women have dominated recent meetings, winning three of the last five, with one win for Puebla U19 Women and one draw. The most recent clash on Aug 15, 2026, saw Queretaro win 1-0 at home. Earlier in 2026, Puebla won 1-0 at home (Mar 21), and Queretaro won 2-1 at home (Jan 24). In 2025, Queretaro won 1-0 away (Oct 11) and the sides drew 1-1 at Puebla (Aug 9). Three of the five matches had under 2.5 goals.
Bookmakersโ odds of 2.88 for Puebla, 2.10 for a draw, and 3.40 for Queretaro imply a draw probability of around 43% once the margin is removed. However, Pueblaโs poor form (no wins in five, only two goals scored) and the head-to-head disadvantage lower their chances, while Queretaroโs comparative edge lifts their win potential. Our adjusted probabilities are: Puebla U19 Women win 25%, draw 43%, Queretaro U19 Women win 32%. Although the draw is the most likely single outcome, Queretaro are the more probable side to collect three points if a winner emerges.
The current odds from bookmakers are: Puebla U19 Women win 2.88, draw 2.10, and Queretaro U19 Women win 3.40. The low draw odds point to a tight, low-scoring contest. Our betting tip is to back the draw or consider a double chance on Queretaro. Based on all available stats, the final match prediction is a 1-1 draw or a narrow 0-1 away win for Queretaro U19 Women.