Queretaro Women - Atletico San Luis Women prediction 4 October 2026

Queretaro Women vs Atletico San Luis Women prediction for the Liga MX Women clash on October 4, 2026. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, Atletico San Luis Women are the clear favorites with a 55% win probability, while Queretaro Women have just a 20% chance of winning at home.

Team Form

Queretaro Women

Queretaro Women have struggled badly, losing four of their last five matches (L, L, W, L, L). Their only win in that run was a 6-2 away victory at Puebla Women on September 13. At home, the situation is even worse — they have lost their last three home games without scoring a single goal: 0-1 vs Atlas Women, 0-2 vs Cruz Azul Women, and a 0-4 thrashing by Monterrey Women. With just one win in five overall, Queretaro Women are in poor shape.

Atletico San Luis Women

Atletico San Luis Women come into this match in much better form, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings (D, W, L, W, W). They drew 1-1 away at league leaders Tigres UANL Women on September 28, beat Pachuca Women 2-1 at home, and recorded a 2-0 away win at Club Necaxa Women. Their only recent setback was a narrow 2-3 home loss to Santos Laguna Women. Overall, Atletico San Luis Women have been scoring consistently and picking up points.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met three times in Liga MX Women, with Atletico San Luis Women holding a 2-1 advantage. The most recent encounter on February 17, 2026, saw Atletico San Luis Women cruise to a 4-1 home win. Queretaro Women’s only victory came away from home, a 2-1 win on February 15, 2025. At this venue, Atletico San Luis Women won 2-0 on August 9, 2025, so Queretaro Women have never beaten them at home in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Atletico San Luis Women sit 6th in the Liga MX Women overall standings with 16 points from 9 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). They have scored 22 goals and conceded 16. Queretaro Women are outside the top 12, indicating a much lower position. In the away table, Atletico San Luis Women are also 6th, collecting 7 points from 4 away games (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Queretaro Women do not appear in the top 8 of the home standings, underlining their struggles at their own ground.

Win Probability: Queretaro Women or Atletico San Luis Women?

After analyzing all available data — form, head-to-head record, league positions, and home/away performances — we calculate the win probabilities as follows:

• Queretaro Women win: 20%
• Draw: 25%
• Atletico San Luis Women win: 55%

Atletico San Luis Women’s superior form (three wins in five), dominant head-to-head record (2-1, including a 4-1 win in the last meeting), and much higher league standing make them the clear favorites. Queretaro Women’s poor home form, with three consecutive home defeats without scoring, further reduces their chances. The draw probability reflects the possibility of a tight contest, but the visitors are expected to take all three points.

Queretaro Women vs Atletico San Luis Women Prediction & Odds

No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture. However, based on the statistical analysis, our match prediction is an away win for Atletico San Luis Women. The betting tip would be to back Atletico San Luis Women to win, given their strong form and Queretaro Women’s defensive frailties. A correct score prediction of 2-0 or 2-1 in favor of the away side looks plausible, considering Queretaro Women have failed to score in their last three home matches while Atletico San Luis Women have netted in four of their last five games. Matches involving these sides have often produced goals; Queretaro Women’s 6-2 win and Atletico San Luis Women’s 6-1 victory show they can be involved in high-scoring affairs, but Queretaro’s recent home blanks suggest a low-scoring game is possible.