Deportivo Coatepeque - Quiche FC prediction 30 September 2026
Deportivo Coatepeque
Quiche FCDeportivo Coatepeque
CD Huehueteco XinabajulDeportivo CoatepequeDeportivo IztapaDeportivo CoatepequeSanta Lucia CotzumalguapaDeportivo AmatitlanDeportivo CoatepequeDeportivo CoatepequeQuiche FCDeportivo CoatepequeChichicasteco FCDeportivo CoatepequeDeportivo GomeraSanta Lucia CotzumalguapaDeportivo CoatepequeDeportivo CoatepequeDeportivo AmatitlanDeportivo CoatepequeJuventud CopaleraDeportivo CoatepequeAguacatanDeportivo San PedroDeportivo CoatepequeDeportivo CoatepequeDeportivo San PedroDeportivo CoatepequeSan BenitoDeportivo CoatepequeDeportivo GomeraDeportivo GomeraQuiche FCDeportivo CoatepequeQuiche FCCD Huehueteco XinabajulQuiche FCDeportivo IztapaQuiche FCDeportivo AmatitlanQuiche FCSanta Lucia CotzumalguapaQuiche FCDeportivo CoatepequeQuiche FCDeportivo GomeraQuiche FCDeportivo San PedroQuiche FCNueva ConcepcionQuiche FCCD Huehueteco XinabajulQuiche FCSuchitepequezQuiche FCQuiche FCDeportivo San PedroNueva Santa Rosa CDFQuiche FCQuiche FCNueva Santa Rosa CDFDeportivo CoatepequeQuiche FCDeportivo CoatepequeQuiche FCDeportivo CoatepequeQuiche FCDeportivo CoatepequeQuiche FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Suchitepequez | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 31:17 | +14 | 37 |
| 2 |  Nueva Concepcion | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 24:15 | +9 | 32 |
| 3 | Quiche FC | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 23:15 | +8 | 31 |
| 4 | Deportivo Coatepeque | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Iztapa | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 38:24 | +14 | 27 |
| 6 |  Cafetaleros Democracia | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 31:30 | +1 | 26 |
| 7 |  FC San Pedro | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 |  Juventud Copalera | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 |  FC La Libertad | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22:29 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 |  Pajapita | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12:55 | -43 | 8 |
Deportivo Coatepeque vs Quiche FC Prediction (Sep 30)
The Deportivo Coatepeque vs Quiche FC prediction for this Primera Division match on Sep 30, 2026, points to a home victory. Our analysis gives Deportivo Coatepeque a 48% chance of winning, with the draw at 27% and Quiche FC at 25%.
Team Form
Deportivo Coatepeque's recent home form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches (L, W, D, W, W). They have been solid at home, scoring in four of those five games. Quiche FC's away form is less convincing: two wins and three losses in their last five (L, W, W, L, L), with two of those defeats coming without scoring.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Deportivo Coatepeque. In three previous meetings at this venue, Deportivo Coatepeque has won twice and drawn once, with no wins for Quiche FC. The results were a 3-2 win on Mar 25, 2026, a 1-1 draw on Oct 12, 2025, and a 2-0 win on Apr 6, 2025. Deportivo Coatepeque has scored in every H2H home match.
League Table Positions
In the overall Primera Division standings, Quiche FC sits 3rd with 31 points from 18 games, while Deportivo Coatepeque is 4th with 29 points. However, the home/away splits tell a different story. Deportivo Coatepeque has the 2nd-best home record in the league (8 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, 20 goals scored, only 3 conceded). Quiche FC's away record is 5th-best, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, conceding 10 goals in 9 away matches. This stark contrast gives Deportivo Coatepeque a significant edge.
Win Probability: Deportivo Coatepeque or Quiche FC?
After normalizing the bookmaker odds and adjusting for form and home/away stats, we calculate the following win probabilities: Deportivo Coatepeque 48%, draw 27%, Quiche FC 25%. The base odds implied a draw as the most likely outcome, but Deportivo Coatepeque's near-perfect home record (8 wins in 9) and Quiche FC's poor away form (5 losses in 9) shift the balance toward a home win. The head-to-head history, with Deportivo Coatepeque unbeaten at home against this opponent, further supports this conclusion. Therefore, Deportivo Coatepeque is the more probable winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available odds are: Deportivo Coatepeque win at 2.40, draw at 2.10, Quiche FC win at 4.50. Bookmakers see the draw as the favorite, but our analysis suggests the home win offers value. Based on the stats, Deportivo Coatepeque is the most likely match outcome, though a draw cannot be ruled out given the H2H draw in 2025. The final prediction is a home win for Deportivo Coatepeque.
Deportivo Coatepeque vs Quiche FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Coatepeque vs Quiche FC?
- Based on our analysis, Deportivo Coatepeque has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Quiche FC has a 25% chance. Deportivo Coatepeque is the favorite due to their strong home record and dominant head-to-head history at this venue.
- What is the win probability for Deportivo Coatepeque?
- Deportivo Coatepeque has a 48% win probability. This is driven by their excellent home form (8 wins in 9 league games) and a perfect home record against Quiche FC, with 2 wins and 1 draw in three meetings.
- When is the Deportivo Coatepeque vs Quiche FC match?
- The match is on Sep 30, 2026, at 20:00 local time. It is a Primera Division fixture in Guatemala.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds are: Deportivo Coatepeque win at 2.40, draw at 2.10, and Quiche FC win at 4.50. These odds imply a draw is the most likely outcome, but our adjusted probabilities favor a home win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Coatepeque and Quiche FC?
- In three head-to-head matches played at Deportivo Coatepeque's home, the home side has won twice and drawn once. The results were 3-2 (Mar 2026), 1-1 (Oct 2025), and 2-0 (Apr 2025). Quiche FC has never won at this venue.