FC Flenu - ROC Charleroi prediction 30 September 2026

The FC Flenu vs ROC Charleroi prediction for September 30, 2026, points to a closely fought First Amateur Division contest where the visitors hold a slight edge. Based on the available stats, ROC Charleroi has a 45% chance of winning, with the draw at 30% and FC Flenu at 25%. The match kicks off at 19:00 at FC Flenu's ground.

Team Form

FC Flenu come into this match with a miserable run of form. Their last five results in all competitions read: L, L, D, L, L. Home performances have been particularly weak, with a 1-4 defeat to Meux on September 13 and a 1-2 loss to Onhaye on September 2. Away from home, they managed a 2-2 draw at RC Sporting Charleroi II but were beaten comfortably by RSC Habay-La-Neuve (2-1) and RW Daring Molenbeek Brussels 47 (3-0).

ROC Charleroi’s recent form is slightly better: D, L, D, L, W. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 cup draw at home to RSC Habay-La-Neuve on September 26. In the league, they have struggled at home with a 1-3 loss to Tubize and a 1-1 draw with Union Saint-Gilloise 2, but they claimed an impressive 2-0 away win at Onhaye on August 30. A 3-0 defeat at RAEC Mons shows inconsistency remains an issue.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no prior head-to-head history between FC Flenu and ROC Charleroi. The record stands at 0 wins for each side and 0 draws, making this their first-ever meeting.

League Table Positions

The standings provide a clear picture of both teams’ struggles. FC Flenu sit bottom of the First Amateur Division (12th) with just 1 point from 5 matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses). They have scored 5 goals and conceded 13. ROC Charleroi are one place above them in 11th with 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), having scored 4 and conceded 12. The three-point gap underscores the importance of this basement battle.

Looking at away form specifically, ROC Charleroi have taken 3 points from their two road trips (1 win, 1 loss), while FC Flenu are yet to pick up a home point, losing both matches at their own ground.

Win Probability: FC Flenu or ROC Charleroi?

Based on league position, recent form, and the away factor, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• FC Flenu win: 25%
• Draw: 30%
• ROC Charleroi win: 45%

ROC Charleroi are the more likely winners. Their away victory at Onhaye and slightly superior points total give them the edge, while FC Flenu’s inability to secure a single win in five attempts – and two home losses – makes them the underdog. The draw holds decent value given both sides’ low-scoring tendencies and the small quality gap.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this fixture. Based on the statistics, ROC Charleroi appear the value side. The visitors’ modest away form and FC Flenu’s defensive frailties point toward an away win or a low-scoring draw. Total goals data from recent outings suggests a match total under 2.5 is plausible.

Conclusion: FC Flenu 25% – Draw 30% – ROC Charleroi 45%. Our pick is ROC Charleroi to win, but with a cautious nod to the draw given the bottom-table nature of the contest.