Lyn 1896 FK II - Rade prediction 5 October 2026

Our Lyn 1896 FK II vs Rade prediction for this 3rd Division match on Oct 5, 2026, sees the away side as the favorite with a 42% win probability. The game kicks off at 18:00 local time, and while Rade are tipped to win, Lyn 1896 FK II have a 30% chance of causing an upset at home.

Team Form

Lyn 1896 FK II have struggled in recent weeks, picking up just one win in their last five matches (W1 D1 L3). Their most recent outing was a 1-0 defeat away to Raelingen on Sep 28. At home, however, they have been more resilient: a 2-2 draw with Sarpsborg 08 II and a 4-3 victory over Sandefjord II in their last two home fixtures. This suggests they can be competitive on their own turf.

Rade's form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five. They suffered a heavy 5-1 away loss to Lillehammer on Sep 26, but previously secured back-to-back home wins against Elverum (4-2) and Gjovik-Lyn (2-0). Their away form is a concern, with two defeats in their last two road games, conceding eight goals in the process.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once in recent history. On Jun 28, 2026, Rade hosted Lyn 1896 FK II and lost 5-3 in a high-scoring encounter. That result gives Lyn 1896 FK II a psychological edge, having won away from home against today's opponents.

League Table Positions

Neither Lyn 1896 FK II nor Rade feature in the top 12 of the 3rd Division standings. This indicates both teams are in the lower half of the table, battling to improve their league position. The lack of a top-half presence adds extra importance to this fixture for both sides.

Win Probability: Lyn 1896 FK II or Rade?

Based on bookmaker odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we have calculated the following win probabilities for this match:

• Lyn 1896 FK II win: 30%
• Draw: 28%
• Rade win: 42%

Rade enter the match as the favorite, but the probability gap is not overwhelming. The initial odds implied a stronger away win chance (around 46%), but we have adjusted this downward due to Lyn 1896 FK II's unbeaten home run in their last two games and their head-to-head victory earlier this season. Rade's poor away form—conceding five and three goals in their last two trips—also reduces their expected dominance. The draw remains a realistic outcome at 28%.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Rade as the clear favorite. The best available odds for an away win are around 1.94 to 2.00, with some bookies going as low as 1.62. A home win for Lyn 1896 FK II is offered at odds between 2.82 and 3.60, while the draw sits between 2.33 and 4.60. These odds reflect the market's view that Rade are the stronger side, but the variation in draw odds suggests uncertainty.

Our Lyn 1896 FK II vs Rade prediction: Rade are the more likely winners, but the value may lie in backing the home side or the draw. Lyn 1896 FK II have shown they can score at home, and with Rade's defensive frailties on the road, both teams to score could also be an attractive betting tip. Ultimately, we expect a competitive match with a slight edge to the away team.