Zemun - Radnik Surdulica prediction 14 September 2026

The Radnik Surdulica vs Zemun prediction points to a match in the Serbian SuperLiga on September 14, 2026, at 17:00. Based on all available data, Radnik Surdulica enters as the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Zemun has a 20% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Zemun's recent form is poor: they have lost their last five matches in the SuperLiga, including a 2-1 defeat to Vojvodina and a 0-2 loss to Crvena Zvezda. Their defense has struggled, conceding multiple goals in several games. Radnik Surdulica, on the other hand, have shown strong form with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. Notable results include a 3-1 win over Cukaricki Stankom and a 1-0 victory against Novi Pazar, though they suffered a heavy 5-1 loss to Zeleznicar Pancevo.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Radnik Surdulica. Out of 14 previous meetings, Radnik Surdulica has won 10, Zemun has won 2, and 2 matches ended in draws. Their most recent encounter on March 8, 2025, in the Prva Liga saw Zemun win 2-1 at home despite the overall H2H dominance of Radnik Surdulica.

League Table Positions

In the SuperLiga standings, Radnik Surdulica is 6th with 12 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). They have a solid home record but are mid-table overall. Zemun is not listed among the top 12 teams in the provided standings, suggesting they are in the lower half of the table or outside the top tier based on points.

Win Probability: Radnik Surdulica or Zemun?

Using the latest odds from bookmakers, the base probabilities (after removing margin) give Zemun a 26.7% chance, the draw 29.6%, and Radnik Surdulica a 43.7% chance. However, adjusting for recent form—Zemun on a five-match losing streak versus Radnik Surdulica with three wins in five—and a dominant H2H record (10 wins for Radnik Surdulica), the probabilities shift. Radnik Surdulica's strong away form and Zemun's poor run increase the visitors' chances. Therefore, Radnik Surdulica has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Zemun has a 20% chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers set the odds with Radnik Surdulica as the favorite: Zemun win at 3.63, draw at 3.27, and Radnik Surdulica win at 2.22. These odds reflect the perceived strength of the away side. Based on the stats—Zemun's five consecutive losses, Radnik Surdulica's superior form and H2H record—the prediction is that Radnik Surdulica will likely win this SuperLiga clash.