Wisla Plock - Radomiak Radom prediction 19 October 2026

The Ekstraklasa clash between Wisla Plock and Radomiak Radom is set for Oct 19, 2026, at 18:00 at the Stadion Wisły Płock. Our Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom prediction points to a home win, with a 45% probability, while the draw and away win stand at 30% and 25% respectively.

Team Form

Wisla Plock enter this match with solid momentum, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings across all competitions. Highlights include a 2-0 away victory over Zaglebie Lubin and a 3-1 home win against Cracovia Krakow. Their only defeat came on the road at Wieczysta Krakow (0-3).

Radomiak Radom, on the other hand, have struggled, managing just one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five. They suffered heavy defeats to Lech Poznan (1-5) and Piast Gliwice (0-2), and also lost at home to Motor Lublin (2-3). Their sole victory was a 7-2 friendly against Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki, which does little to mask their concerning league form.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three Ekstraklasa meetings, Wisla Plock have yet to beat Radomiak Radom, with two draws and one away win for the visitors. The most recent encounter on April 26, 2026, saw Radomiak secure a 1-0 victory at this very stadium. Earlier, they drew 1-1 in October 2025 and again 1-1 in April 2023. This head‑to‑head trend suggests Radomiak can be a stubborn opponent for Plock.

League Table Positions

Neither side features in the top 12 of the overall Ekstraklasa table, indicating both are battling in the lower half of the division. Wisla Plock’s away form has been relatively respectable – their 7 points from 6 away games place them 7th in the away‑standings specific table. Radomiak Radom do not appear in any of the provided standings, hinting they may be even further down the ladder with a weaker away record.

Win Probability: Wisla Plock or Radomiak Radom?

After analyzing the latest odds, recent form, head-to-head statistics, and the home factor, we have calculated the outcome probabilities. Wisla Plock holds a 45% win probability, a draw is rated at 30%, and Radomiak Radom has a 25% chance.

The bookmakers’ average odds (2.02 home, 2.42 draw, 3.76 away) imply a 42% baseline for a home win, which we slightly increased due to Plock’s superior recent results and Radomiak’s poor run. The draw remains a realistic scenario given the two stalemates in three H2H encounters, but the form gap tilts the balance toward the hosts.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers consistently price Wisla Plock as the favourite, with the best available home win odds falling as low as 1.75 and an overall average of about 2.02. The draw is offered around 2.42, while an away win for Radomiak Radom stands at roughly 3.76. This odds structure underlines the belief that the hosts are the more likely winners.

Considering all factors – Plock’s strong recent home performances, Radomiak’s defensive vulnerabilities, and the H2H record – a narrow home victory or a draw appear the most probable outcomes. Our final Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom prediction is a home win, but with a note of caution: the draw cannot be ruled out.