Raelingen - Lyn 1896 FK II prediction 28 September 2026

The Raelingen vs Lyn 1896 FK II prediction for this 3rd Division match on September 28, 2026, finds Raelingen holding a slight advantage at 40% win probability. Bookmakers see the visitors as marginal favorites, but recent form and home factor tilt the scales toward the hosts. A close battle is expected.

Team Form

Raelingen come into this fixture with a steady run: two wins, two draws, and just one defeat in their last five outings. They drew 2-2 at home against Drobak/Frogn on Sep 12, beat Oppsal 1-0 at home on Aug 30, and crushed Brumunddal 4-2 away on Aug 15. The only blip was a 4-1 loss at Elverum on Sep 19. Overall, Raelingen have scored 9 and conceded 9 in this stretch, showing both resilience and occasional defensive lapses.

Lyn 1896 FK II, in contrast, have struggled lately: one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five. Their last result was a 2-2 home draw with Sarpsborg 08 II on Sep 21, but prior to that they lost 2-0 at Gjovik-Lyn, 4-1 at Drobak/Frogn, and 4-1 at Lillehammer. Their sole recent win was a wild 4-3 home victory against Sandefjord II on Aug 31. With 8 goals scored and 13 conceded, the away side’s defense has been leaky.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have met only once in competitive action. On May 11, 2026, Lyn 1896 FK II hosted Raelingen and won 3-1. That single head-to-head match gives the away side a psychological edge, but it is a small sample and the context (home vs. away) differs this time.

Win Probability: Raelingen or Lyn 1896 FK II?

Based on all available data, the outcome probabilities for this match are:

• Raelingen win — 40%
• Draw — 30%
• Lyn 1896 FK II win — 30%

To arrive at these figures, we first calculated the fair odds from the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (2.43 home, 3.18 draw, 2.40 away) and then adjusted for team form and home advantage. Raelingen’s superior recent results (2W-2D-1L vs. 1W-1D-3L) shift the balance in their favor, while the head-to-head result and bookmaker view keep the match tight. Raelingen is more likely to win, but a draw is also a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for the match show a very competitive picture. The available 1X2 odds range as follows: home win 2.40–2.45, draw 2.70–3.95, away win 2.15–2.60. This indicates that the market sees little to separate the two sides, with Lyn 1896 FK II installed as the narrowest of favorites in some books, and others giving Raelingen a slight edge.

Our prediction: Raelingen to win. The hosts have been more consistent lately and the home ground in the 3rd Division often proves decisive. Still, this is not a clear-cut choice — the match could easily end level. Given the odds, a bet on Raelingen with a draw‑no‑bet might offer value. Total goals could go over 2.5, given both teams’ recent scoring and conceding patterns.