Rahmatganj mfs Dhaka - PWD SC prediction 9 October 2026

Rahmatganj mfs Dhaka vs PWD SC prediction for the Bangladesh Premier League match on October 9, 2026. Our analysis gives Rahmatganj mfs Dhaka a 45% chance of winning, with a draw at 30% and PWD SC at 25%.

Team Form

Rahmatganj mfs Dhaka's last five matches: D, L, D, W, L. They drew 2-2 at Arambagh (Oct 3), lost 0-1 at Bangladesh Police Club (Sep 18), drew 0-0 at home to Bangladesh Police Club (May 23), beat Mohammedan Dhaka 1-0 at home (May 15), and lost 1-3 at Brothers Union (May 9). Just one win in that run.

PWD SC's recent form: D, D, D, W, L. They drew 1-1 at home to Brothers Union (Oct 2), drew 0-0 at home to Abahani Limited Dhaka (Sep 18), drew 2-2 at home to Fortis (May 23), won 1-0 at Fakirapool Young Men's (May 15), and lost 0-2 at home to Abahani Limited Dhaka (May 8). Three draws in the last five indicate resilience but a lack of wins.

Head-to-Head Record

In three previous meetings, Rahmatganj mfs Dhaka have won twice and PWD SC once. No draw has occurred. The most recent clash was in the Federation Cup on April 14, 2026, when Rahmatganj won 2-0 away. Earlier in the Premier League, PWD SC won 2-0 at home on April 10, 2026, and Rahmatganj won 2-1 at home on November 25, 2025. The home side has won each of these encounters.

League Table Positions

Rahmatganj mfs Dhaka sit 6th overall with 23 points (6 wins, 5 draws, 7 losses; 21 goals scored, 25 conceded). PWD SC are 8th with 17 points (4 wins, 5 draws, 9 losses; 15 goals scored, 28 conceded). At home, Rahmatganj are 4th with a strong 5-3-1 record (13 goals for, 5 against). Away, PWD SC rank 5th with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses (7 goals for, 14 against). The home/away gap clearly favours Rahmatganj.

Win Probability: Rahmatganj mfs Dhaka or PWD SC?

The implied probabilities from the odds (after removing the bookmaker margin) give Rahmatganj a 42.6% chance, the draw 27.6%, and PWD SC 29.8%. We adjust for the strong home form of Rahmatganj (only one home loss all season) and PWD SC's poor away record (5 defeats in 9 away games). Additionally, PWD SC's recent trend of draws slightly lifts the draw probability. Final probabilities: Rahmatganj mfs Dhaka win – 45%, Draw – 30%, PWD SC win – 25%. Based on these numbers, Rahmatganj are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the match: Rahmatganj mfs Dhaka 2.10, Draw 3.25, PWD SC 3.00 (first bookmaker). A second bookmaker quotes 2.10, 3.15, 3.00. The odds firmly price the home side as the favourite. Our prediction: based on the stats, Rahmatganj mfs Dhaka to win. However, a draw is a realistic outcome given both teams' recent form and PWD SC's three draws in their last five.