The Royal Thai Army vs Raj Pracha prediction for this Division 3 fixture on October 3, 2026, at 09:30 points to a home advantage. Based on our analysis of odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Royal Thai Army has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Raj Pracha has a 25% chance. Royal Thai Army are the favorites to take all three points.
Royal Thai Army come into this match without a win in their last five outings (D, D, L, L, D). They drew 0-0 with Samut Songkhram, 1-1 with Muangnont Bankunmae, lost 1-2 to Nonthaburi and 1-2 to Thonburi United, and drew 1-1 with Suphanburi FC. Despite the lack of victories, three draws show they are competitive.
Raj Pracha are in even poorer form, with four losses and one draw in their last five (L, L, L, D, L). They were beaten 3-1 by Samut Sakhon City, 2-1 by Thonburi United, 1-0 by Suphanburi FC, and 2-0 by Assumption United, with a 0-0 draw at Hua Hin City the only point gained. Raj Pracha have scored just two goals in that run.
The head-to-head record heavily favours Royal Thai Army. In 9 previous meetings, Royal Thai Army have won 7, Raj Pracha have won 1, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent clash on February 15, 2026, ended in a 2-0 home win for Royal Thai Army. The last encounter at Raj Prachaโs ground, on October 25, 2025, finished 1-1. Royal Thai Army have dominated this fixture historically, especially at home.
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Royal Thai Army 45%, Draw 30%, Raj Pracha 25%. These figures are derived from the average implied odds of three bookmakers (home 2.10โ2.75, draw 2.10โ3.25, away 3.00โ3.50), then adjusted for the strong H2H advantage of Royal Thai Army (7 wins in 9) and the slightly better recent form of the home side. While both teams are struggling, Royal Thai Armyโs historical dominance and home advantage tip the balance.
Bookmakersโ odds for the 1X2 market show a tight contest. The best available home win odds are around 2.10, the draw is priced as low as 2.10, and an away win can be backed at 3.50. This indicates that the market sees Royal Thai Army as marginal favourites but gives a high chance to the draw. Our prediction, based on the stats, is a home win for Royal Thai Army, though a draw cannot be ruled out given both teamsโ recent struggles in front of goal. A 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline would be consistent with the H2H pattern.