Ranheim II - Aalesund FK 2 prediction 26 October 2026

The Ranheim II vs Aalesund FK 2 prediction for October 26, 2026, points towards a home victory in the Norway 3rd Division. Based on available odds and recent head-to-head records, Ranheim II enters this match as the favorite with an estimated 55% win probability. The match kicks off at 17:00, and bookmakers see the hosts as the clear side to beat.

Team Form

Ranheim II's recent form has been poor, with four losses in their last five matches (L, L, W, L, L). Their only win in this stretch was a 5-2 away victory over Spjelkavik on Oct 4. Defensive issues are evident, as they conceded 15 goals across those five games.

Aalesund FK 2 also struggles for consistency, recording two draws, one win, and two losses in their last five outings (D, D, W, L, L). They managed a 1-0 away win at Melhus on Oct 12 but suffered a heavy 7-1 home defeat to Rosenborg 2 on Sep 25. Their attack has been inconsistent, scoring 11 times in this period while conceding 16.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings, Ranheim II has dominated the head-to-head with 3 wins, while Aalesund FK 2 has 1 win, and no draws. The most recent encounter on Jun 22, 2026, saw Ranheim II win 5-2 away. At home, Ranheim II also won their last H2H match 2-0 on Sep 21, 2025. The historical trend suggests these games are high-scoring, with 24 total goals in 4 matches (6.0 average per game).

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 8 of the provided league standings. The 3rd Division table is led by Asker with 67 points from 25 games. Given that Ranheim II and Aalesund FK 2 are not listed among the top teams in the overall, home, or away standings, this indicates both are likely in the lower half of the table, making league position less of a differentiating factor.

Win Probability: Ranheim II or Aalesund FK 2?

The win probability calculation gives Ranheim II a 55% chance of winning, a 22% chance for the draw, and a 23% chance for an Aalesund FK 2 victory. These numbers are derived by taking the inverse of the best available odds for each outcome (1.53 home, 3.00 draw, 3.60 away), normalizing them to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusting upward for Ranheim II’s head-to-head dominance and home advantage. Despite poor recent form, Ranheim II's strong H2H record and the home factor make them the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds from bookmakers show Ranheim II as the favorite. The best home win odds range from 1.53 to 1.57, the draw from 3.00 to 5.17, and the away win from 3.60 to 4.03. Based on the stats, the recommended betting tip is a home win for Ranheim II. However, considering both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and the high-scoring history in head-to-head matchups, this match could see plenty of total goals. The final prediction is a win for Ranheim II, but Aalesund FK 2’s 23% upset probability means the draw is less likely than an away win.