Kongsvinger - Ranheim prediction 11 October 2026

Our Kongsvinger vs Ranheim prediction for October 11, 2026, sees the home side as the clear favorite with a 60% win probability. The 1 Division match kicks off at 16:00 local time, and Kongsvinger’s dominant home form gives them a significant edge over Ranheim, who have struggled on the road this season.

Team Form

Kongsvinger come into this fixture unbeaten in their last five matches (W3 D2). They demolished Hodd 5-1 and Raufoss 9-1 at home, while also beating Eidsvold Turn 3-2 away. The two draws were a 1-1 at Egersund and a thrilling 4-4 home draw with Lyn. Their attack has been lethal, scoring 22 goals in those five games.

Ranheim are also in solid form, with three wins and two draws in their last five. They beat Egersund 5-0 at home, won 4-1 at Lyn, and defeated Levanger 2-0 in the cup. The draws came against Asane (2-2 home) and Sandnes Ulf (1-1 away). However, their overall away record remains a concern.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 13 meetings, Kongsvinger have won 6, Ranheim 3, with 4 draws. The most recent clash on May 8, 2026, ended 1-1 at Ranheim. Before that, the two sides drew 1-1 at Kongsvinger in August 2025. Kongsvinger won the previous home encounter 2-1 in April 2024. The head-to-head stats clearly favor the hosts.

League Table Positions

Kongsvinger sit 3rd in the 1 Division with 50 points from 23 games (W15 D5 L3). Their home record is outstanding: 9 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss, with 45 goals scored and 21 conceded. Ranheim are 8th with 31 points from 24 matches (W9 D4 L11). On the road, they have managed just 3 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, scoring 22 and conceding 30. The 19-point gap and contrasting home/away performances underline Kongsvinger’s superiority.

Win Probability: Kongsvinger or Ranheim?

Based on all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Kongsvinger 60%, draw 25%, Ranheim 15%. Kongsvinger’s near-perfect home record (9-2-1) and Ranheim’s poor away form (3-1-7) are the biggest factors. Recent form is strong for both, but Kongsvinger’s firepower at home – 45 goals in 12 games – is hard to ignore. The head-to-head record also leans towards the hosts, and the 19-point gap in the table confirms the gulf in class. Ranheim’s chances rely on an off-day for Kongsvinger, but the stats point to a comfortable home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds are not currently available for this fixture. However, based on the stats, Kongsvinger are expected to be strong favorites. Our prediction is a home victory, likely with over 2.5 goals given both teams’ recent scoring form. Kongsvinger’s defensive solidity at home (21 conceded in 12) should limit Ranheim’s opportunities, making a 2-0 or 3-1 scoreline plausible.