Raufoss - Ranheim prediction 24 October 2026

The Raufoss vs Ranheim prediction for this 1 Division clash on October 24, 2026, points towards an away victory. Ranheim enters the match as the clear favorite with a 52% win probability, while Raufoss struggles at home with just a 20% chance. The match kicks off at 13:00 local time in Norway.

Team Form

Raufoss is in dreadful form, losing four of their last five matches and drawing one. Their recent results include a 5-1 thrashing by Hodd, a 1-1 draw at Bryne, a 1-2 home loss to Moss, a 1-5 cup defeat to IK Start, and a 0-2 home loss to Stromsgodset. They have conceded 15 goals in these five games, averaging three per match.

Ranheim, on the other hand, has won three of their last five, with one draw and one loss. They beat Bryne 4-2, drew 1-1 at Hodd, lost 2-6 at Kongsvinger, thrashed Egersund 5-0, and won 4-1 at Lyn. Their attack has been potent, scoring 16 goals in that span.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record heavily favors Ranheim: out of 12 meetings, Ranheim has won 6, Raufoss only 1, and 5 ended in draws. The most recent encounter in April 2026 saw Ranheim demolish Raufoss 5-1. In September 2025, Ranheim won 2-1 at Raufoss. The last five matches show three Ranheim wins and two draws—Raufoss has not beaten Ranheim since September 2023.

League Table Positions

Ranheim sits 8th in the 1 Division table with 35 points from 27 matches, scoring 68 goals and conceding 67. Raufoss is outside the top 12, indicating a much lower position and a likely relegation battle. Ranheim's home form is solid (8th in home standings), but they are playing away, where Raufoss has been extremely vulnerable.

Win Probability: Raufoss or Ranheim?

Based on odds, recent form, head-to-head dominance, and league positions, the calculated win probabilities are: Raufoss 20%, Draw 28%, Ranheim 52%. The bookmakers' average implied odds gave Ranheim a 47.5% base chance, which we adjusted upward due to Raufoss's terrible form and Ranheim's superior H2H record. The draw probability remains significant because five of the twelve historical meetings ended level. Ranheim is the clear favorite to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer odds around 3.90–4.10 for a Raufoss home win, 2.80–4.10 for the draw, and 1.91–1.95 for a Ranheim away victory. These odds reflect the market's view that Ranheim is the most likely winner. Our Raufoss vs Ranheim prediction: based on the stats, Ranheim should win, but the high draw probability suggests caution. A 2-1 or 3-1 away win is a plausible scoreline.