| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.75 | 2.40 | 1.95 | |
| 5.80 | 2.38 | 1.85 | |
| 6.25 | 2.62 | 1.83 | |
| 6.20 | 2.45 | 1.75 | |
| 6.00 | 2.40 | 1.75 | |
| 6.56 | 4.70 | 1.53 |
The First Vienna vs Rapid Wien prediction for October 27, 2026, tips Rapid Wien as the strong favorite to advance in the Austrian Cup. According to our win probability model, Rapid Wien hold a significant advantage, making a home upset for First Vienna highly unlikely.
Rapid Wien are in flawless form heading into this Cup tie. The team has won their last five matches in the Bundesliga, including a 5-1 demolition of Austria Lustenau and a 3-0 victory over WSG Tirol. They are scoring freely and looking dominant on the road, with away wins at LASK Linz (0-2) and Wolfsberger AC (0-3).
First Vienna have also been in strong form, winning four of their last five outings. Their recent matches in the 2. Liga show consecutive wins against Floridsdorfer AC (2-0) and SKN St. Polten (3-1). However, a friendly loss to LASK Linz (2-1) is the only recent blemish on their record.
History heavily favors Rapid Wien in this fixture. The teams have met three times in the past, all in Friendly Clubs matches, and Rapid Wien won all three. The aggregate score across these head-to-head meetings is 12-2, with Rapid Wien scoring exactly four goals in each encounter. The most recent match on October 12, 2023, ended 1-4 to Rapid Wien.
This is an Austrian Cup match, so league positions are not directly comparable for this knockout tie. However, the division gap is clear. Rapid Wien compete in the top-flight Bundesliga, consistently facing stronger opposition, while First Vienna play in the 2. Liga. This gulf in quality is reflected in the betting odds and the historical head-to-head record.
Based on the latest odds, recent form, and the completely one-sided head-to-head record, Rapid Wien are overwhelmingly favored. We estimate an 18% chance for a First Vienna win, a 22% chance for a draw, and a 60% chance for a Rapid Wien win. The probability calculation is anchored on the inverse of the best available odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker's margin, then adjusted upwards for Rapid Wien due to their perfect five-match winning streak and historical dominance over First Vienna.
Bookmakers see Rapid Wien as the clear favorite. The available pre-match odds show Rapid Wien's win priced as low as 1.43, while a home win for First Vienna is offered as high as 6.88. The draw is generally priced around 2.62 to 2.75. Based on the stats and the significant class difference, a Rapid Wien victory is the expected match outcome.