Rapid Wien - TSV Hartberg prediction 16 October 2026

The Bundesliga meeting between Rapid Wien and TSV Hartberg on Apr 22 at 16:30 is our focus in this Rapid Wien vs TSV Hartberg prediction. Based on head-to-head data and each side's recent form, TSV Hartberg enter the match as slight favourites with a 37% win probability, while Rapid Wien have a 35% chance and the draw stands at 28%.

Team Form

Rapid Wien go into the game after a run of two draws, two wins and one loss in their last five outings (D-D-W-W-L). Those results include a 3-0 home win against SV Ried and a 2-2 friendly draw with Pardubice, but also a 2-1 defeat at SV Ried. The team has struggled for consistency, keeping only one clean sheet in that spell.

TSV Hartberg's recent form is stronger: three wins, one draw and one loss over the same period (W-D-L-W-W). They beat Zbrojovka Brno 2-0, drew 1-1 with Ujpest and recorded an impressive 3-1 victory at Red Bull Salzburg. With eight goals scored in those five matches, Hartberg carry a genuine attacking threat.

Head-to-Head Record

In 30 previous meetings, Rapid Wien have 12 home wins, there have been 8 draws, and TSV Hartberg have claimed 10 away victories. The most recent clashes paint an even picture: a 2-2 draw on Apr 19 2026, a 1-1 draw on Feb 07 2026, a 1-0 Rapid win on Aug 31 2025, and a 2-1 Hartberg win on Mar 09 2025. The head-to-head numbers underline how close these contests tend to be.

Win Probability: Rapid Wien or TSV Hartberg?

Our win probability calculation gives Rapid Wien a 35% chance of winning, the draw a 28% chance, and TSV Hartberg a 37% chance. These figures are drawn from the H2H record (where Rapid have a 40% home win rate, 27% draws, 33% away wins) adjusted for recent form. Rapid's last five games show a points-per-game of 1.6, compared to Hartberg's 2.0, which explains the slight shift toward the visitors.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmaker odds for the 1X2 market were not available in the provided data, so our prediction relies entirely on statistical analysis. Considering the stronger form of TSV Hartberg and an overall H2H record that already favours the away side in nearly a third of encounters, we conclude that a TSV Hartberg win is the most likely outcome. A draw remains a realistic second possibility given the clubs' recent draws against each other.