Rappe GOIF - Vaxjo Norra IF prediction 25 September 2026

The Rappe GOIF vs Vaxjo Norra IF prediction for the Division 2 match in Sweden on Sep 25 at 18:00 points to an away win. Vaxjo Norra IF have the strongest chance at 53%, while Rappe GOIF are at 23% and the draw is at 24%. The bookmakers’ odds and the teams’ recent form both point toward the visitors.

Team Form

Rappe GOIF come into this match with a mixed recent record: W, L, L, L, D in their last five Division 2 outings. They won 2-1 away at Torns IF on Sep 19, drew 1-1 at home with Osterlen FF on Aug 22, and lost 1-7 at Oskarshamns AIK on Sep 12, 2-3 at home to Solvesborgs Goif on Sep 5, and 1-3 at Lilla Torg FF on Aug 29.

Vaxjo Norra IF have been more consistent: D, D, W, W, L in their last five. They drew 0-0 at home with Nosaby IF on Sep 20 and 1-1 at home with Lilla Torg FF on Sep 12, won 3-1 away at Torns IF on Sep 5 and 3-0 at home against Osterlen FF on Aug 30, and lost 1-2 at home to Solvesborgs Goif on Aug 25.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three head-to-head meetings, Rappe GOIF have won twice and Vaxjo Norra IF once, with no draws. The most recent meeting was on May 29, when Rappe GOIF won 2-0 away at Vaxjo Norra IF. In 2025, Vaxjo Norra IF won 3-0 away at Rappe GOIF on Aug 3, and Rappe GOIF won 2-1 away at Vaxjo Norra IF on Jun 14.

Win Probability: Rappe GOIF or Vaxjo Norra IF?

The pre-match odds of 4.00 for Rappe GOIF, 3.80 for the draw, and 1.70 for Vaxjo Norra IF produce normalized probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin. Rappe GOIF have around 23%, the draw around 24%, and Vaxjo Norra IF around 53%.

Win Probability Break Down

• Rappe GOIF win: 23%
• Draw: 24%
• Vaxjo Norra IF win: 53%

Recent form supports this: Rappe GOIF have lost three of their last five, while Vaxjo Norra IF have lost only one of five and won twice. The head-to-head record gives Rappe GOIF a slight historical edge with two wins in three, but the odds and current form keep Vaxjo Norra IF as the likely winner.

Conclusion: Rappe GOIF has a 23% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Vaxjo Norra IF has a 53% chance.

Odds & Rappe GOIF vs Vaxjo Norra IF Prediction

Bookmakers see Vaxjo Norra IF as the favorite with odds of 1.70, while Rappe GOIF are available at 4.00 and the draw at 3.80. These odds are the basis for the win probability model, with the away win offering the lowest decimal price and the highest implied chance.

Based on the stats, the final prediction is an away win for Vaxjo Norra IF. A draw is also possible at 24%, but Rappe GOIF’s 23% win chance makes the home upset less likely. For betting tips, the away win is the main market according to the odds and form.