Ratchaburi - Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC prediction 7 October 2026

The Ratchaburi vs Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC prediction for the ASEAN Club Championship match on Oct 7, 2026, at 13:00 points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds and team form, Ratchaburi hold a slight edge with a 44% win probability, while the draw is a strong 39% chance, and Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC have a 17% chance of an away victory.

Team Form

Ratchaburi's last five matches show mixed results: a 1-1 draw at Rayong FC, a 4-6 home loss to Shanghai SIPG East Asia, a 1-0 home win over Bangkok United, a 1-2 away loss to Ayutthaya United, and a 5-0 home friendly win against Bangkok FC. That gives them two wins, one draw, and two defeats in competitive fixtures, with a tendency to score at home.

Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC have also been inconsistent. Their recent five: a 0-1 home loss to Dai Hoc Van Hien, a 1-1 away draw at Binh Dinh in the Cup, a 1-0 away win at Lam Dong, a 0-1 away loss to TDTT Bac Ninh, and a 3-1 home win over Ha Noi T&T. Away from home, they've managed two wins, one draw, and one loss in their last four, showing they can be dangerous on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between Ratchaburi and Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC. The two sides have never met before, making this ASEAN Club Championship clash their first-ever encounter.

Win Probability: Ratchaburi or Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC?

After removing the bookmaker margin from the available odds and adjusting for home advantage and recent form, the win probabilities are: Ratchaburi 44%, draw 39%, Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC 17%. The home side's slight edge comes from playing at their own stadium and the odds implying a 44% chance, while the draw probability is notably high due to both teams' inconsistent results. Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC's away form keeps them in the picture, but they remain the underdogs.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match tightly. One set of odds shows a home win at 2.00, the draw at 2.25, and an away win at 5.15. Another bookmaker offers 2.00 for a Ratchaburi victory, 2.30 for the draw, and 4.80 for Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC. These odds confirm Ratchaburi as the favorite, but the short draw price reflects how close the contest could be.

Our Ratchaburi vs Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC prediction: based on the stats, Ratchaburi are the most likely winners, but a draw cannot be ruled out. The 44% win probability for the home side suggests value in backing them, while the 39% draw chance makes it a risky match for straight win bets. Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC's 17% chance means an away upset is unlikely but not impossible.