UD Ibiza - Real Zaragoza prediction 27 September 2026

UD Ibiza vs Real Zaragoza prediction for the Primera Federacion match on Sep 25 at 20:15. Based on the supplied 1X2 odds, recent form and head-to-head record, UD Ibiza are narrow favourites, but the draw is the single most likely outcome with a 38% probability.

Team Form

UD Ibiza come into this match with form results of L, W, W, L, W across their last five supplied matches. They beat Sant Andreu 2-0 and CF Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 at home, and won 4-1 at Arenas Club de Getxo in a friendly. Their defeats were 2-1 at Real Jaen and 3-2 at Antequera CF.

Real Zaragoza's last five supplied form results are W, W, W, L, L. They beat FC Cartagena 1-0 at home, won 4-3 at Juventud Torremolinos, and beat Antequera CF 1-0 at home. They lost 2-0 at Gimnastic de Tarragona and 2-1 at Numancia in a friendly.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams is even: UD Ibiza have one win, Real Zaragoza have one win, and two matches ended as draws.

• May 20, 2023: UD Ibiza 1-0 Real Zaragoza (Segunda)
• Dec 3, 2022: Real Zaragoza 2-1 UD Ibiza (Segunda)
• Jan 31, 2022: UD Ibiza 2-2 Real Zaragoza (Segunda)
• Aug 13, 2021: Real Zaragoza 0-0 UD Ibiza (Segunda)

League Table Positions

The supplied match data does not include current Primera Federacion league table positions or points, so no table gap can be stated here.

Win Probability: UD Ibiza or Real Zaragoza?

UD Ibiza has a 34% chance of winning, the draw is at 38%, and Real Zaragoza has a 28% chance. The total outcome probability is 100%.

The 1X2 odds imply roughly 31% for UD Ibiza, 41% for the draw, and 28% for Real Zaragoza after removing the bookmaker margin. Because both teams have identical recent form records of three wins and two defeats from five matches, and the head-to-head is evenly split with two draws, the draw probability stays high. UD Ibiza receive a small home-advantage adjustment to edge above Real Zaragoza. This answers the who-will-win question: UD Ibiza lean ahead of Real Zaragoza, but a draw is the most likely single result.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds list UD Ibiza at 2.75 and 2.70, the draw at 2.00 and 2.05, and Real Zaragoza at 2.78 and 3.10. Bookmakers see the draw as a very live runner, while UD Ibiza are slightly shorter than Real Zaragoza in the first set of prices.

Final prediction: based on the stats, the draw is the strongest single outcome, with UD Ibiza the more likely side if a winner emerges. A betting tip from the data is to consider the draw or the UD Ibiza double chance, but odds quoted are from the supplied sources and may change.