Reims - Dijon prediction 16 October 2026

Reims vs Dijon prediction for the Ligue 2 clash on October 16, 2026, at 19:00. After analyzing the data, Reims has a 45% chance of winning, a draw stands at 40%, and Dijon has a 15% chance. Bookmakers favor the home side, but the stats point to a very tight contest.

Team Form

Reims come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings (D, D, W, D, W). Their most recent results include a 0-0 draw away at Nantes, a 1-1 home stalemate with Montpellier, and a convincing 4-1 win at Red Star FC 93. In that period they scored 8 goals and conceded 4, showing solid attacking output but a tendency to share points.

Dijon’s last five results are mixed (W, W, D, L, D). They beat AnnecY 2-1 on the road and won 3-2 at home against Saint-Etienne, but lost 2-3 at home to Saint-Etienne (a separate fixture) and drew 1-1 at Boulogne and 1-1 at Clermont. Their away from in the league is unbeaten this season (1 win, 3 draws).

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head between Reims and Dijon totals 2 home wins for Reims, 6 draws, and 1 away win for Dijon. In their last five meetings (since 2019), the results underline the draw-heavy nature of this fixture: a 0-0 draw in January 2021, another 0-0 draw later that month, a 1-2 away win for Dijon in September 2019, and two Reims victories (1-0 away in March 2021 and 3-1 in a 2019 friendly). Draws occur in two-thirds of all documented head-to-head matches, a trend that weighs heavily on today’s prediction.

League Table Positions

In the Ligue 2 table, Reims sit 4th with 14 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 5 draws, 0 losses), scoring 15 and conceding 9. They are one of only two unbeaten sides in the division. Dijon occupy 10th with 9 points from 7 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses; goals 10-10). The gap is 5 points, but Dijon have a game in hand. On home form, Reims are 8th (1W, 3D), while Dijon’s away record ranks 7th (1W, 3D) – both teams are difficult to beat.

Win Probability: Reims or Dijon?

Bookmakers’ odds imply probabilities of roughly 48% for a Reims win, 35% for a draw, and 17% for Dijon. After adjusting for form and the extremely draw-heavy head-to-head record, our calculated win probability is: Reims 45%, Draw 40%, Dijon 15%. Reims remains the favorite largely due to home advantage and their unbeaten league run, but the 6 draws in 9 head-to-head meetings – plus the fact that both sides have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches – makes a stalemate almost as likely as a home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds are 1.67 for Reims, 2.30 for the draw, and 4.75 for Dijon (varying slightly between bookmakers). These prices clearly show that the market views Reims as the favorite, but the draw odds are relatively low, reflecting the tight expected margin. Based on the stats, our match prediction leans towards a draw. A low-scoring encounter is probable, given Reims’ solid home defence and Dijon’s organised away form. A double chance on Reims or draw offers little value, but the draw holds appeal for bettors.