Criacao Shinjuku - ReinMeer Aomori FC prediction 10 October 2026

Our Criacao Shinjuku vs ReinMeer Aomori FC prediction for this J4 League match on Oct 10 at 05:00 sees ReinMeer Aomori FC as the favorite. Based on the available data, ReinMeer Aomori FC has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Criacao Shinjuku has a 25% chance. The visitors' superior league position and dominant head-to-head record give them a clear edge.

Team Form

Criacao Shinjuku's recent form shows a mixed pattern of W, L, D, W, W in their last five matches. They picked up a strong 4-1 away win against YSCC Yokohama on Oct 4, but suffered a 0-3 home defeat to Okinawa SV on Sep 27. Their other results include a 0-0 draw at Azul Claro Numazu FC, a 1-0 home win over Maruyasu Okazaki, and a 1-0 away victory at Vonds Ichihara.

ReinMeer Aomori FC comes into the match with form of W, W, L, L, W. They secured a 2-1 away win at Maruyasu Okazaki on Oct 4 and a solid 2-0 home victory against Honda FC on Sep 19. However, they were beaten 1-4 at home by Okinawa SV in the league and lost 1-4 away to Okinawa SV in the League Cup, before bouncing back with a 2-0 cup win over Briobecca Urayasu.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors ReinMeer Aomori FC, with 4 wins to Criacao Shinjuku's 0, alongside 4 draws. Their most recent meeting was a 0-0 draw in the League Cup on Mar 20, 2026. In league encounters, ReinMeer Aomori won 2-1 at home in Sep 2025 and 1-0 away in May 2025. Earlier meetings include two 0-0 draws in 2024.

League Table Positions

ReinMeer Aomori FC sits 3rd in the J4 League with 50 points from 29 matches, having won 14, drawn 8, and lost 7. They have scored 39 goals and conceded 28. Criacao Shinjuku is placed 11th with 33 points from 29 games, recording 8 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal record of 29:32. On away form, ReinMeer Aomori ranks 3rd overall, while Criacao Shinjuku's home form is not listed in the top 8.

Win Probability: Criacao Shinjuku or ReinMeer Aomori FC?

Based on our analysis, the win probabilities for this match are: Criacao Shinjuku 25%, draw 30%, and ReinMeer Aomori FC 45%. We calculated these percentages by first examining the bookmakers' odds. The most balanced odds from the market imply probabilities of approximately 25% for a home win, 33% for a draw, and 42% for an away win. We adjusted these figures by giving additional weight to ReinMeer Aomori's dominant H2H record (4 wins, 0 losses), their far superior league standing (3rd vs 11th), and their strong away form. Criacao Shinjuku's recent home loss to Okinawa SV also factors into the reduced home probability. The conclusion is that ReinMeer Aomori FC is more likely to win, but the frequent draws in this fixture make a stalemate a significant possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this fixture. The 1X2 market shows home win odds ranging from 3.25 to 3.90, draw odds are consistently short between 1.98 and 3.10, and away win odds range from 2.05 to 2.75. The tight odds on the draw and away win reflect the market's view that ReinMeer Aomori FC is the favorite. Our final match prediction, based on the stats, is a win for ReinMeer Aomori FC, with a draw being the next most likely outcome.