Resovia Rzeszow - Avia Swidnik prediction 3 October 2026

The Resovia Rzeszow vs Avia Swidnik prediction points to a tight match in the II Liga on October 3, 2026 at 12:00. Our analysis gives Avia Swidnik a 35% win probability, the draw a 35% chance, and Resovia Rzeszow a 30% shot, making this a difficult call for betting tips. Read on for team form, head-to-head record, league table context, and a full breakdown of odds and win probability.

Team Form

Resovia Rzeszow is struggling badly. Their last five matches: a 2-0 loss away to Stal Stalowa Wola (Sep 20), a 0-1 home defeat to Lechia Zielona Gora (Sep 11), a 2-2 draw at Chojniczanka Chojnice (Sep 5), a 0-4 cup loss at home to Arka Gdynia (Sep 2), and a 0-3 home loss to Sandecja Nowy Sacz (Aug 28). That's zero wins, one draw, and four losses, with just two goals scored and ten conceded. This woeful run puts them in the bottom half of the table.

Avia Swidnik's form is slightly better: a 2-2 draw at Sokol Kleczew (Sep 18), a 0-1 home loss to Rekord Bielsko-Biala (Sep 13), a 0-1 away loss to GKS Tychy (Sep 6), a 3-1 cup win at home against Wieczysta Krakow (Sep 3), and a 1-3 home loss to Lechia Zielona Gora (Aug 29). In the league they have one win in five (the cup win is excluded), but they have managed a draw and scored in a few games, showing some resilience compared to Resovia.

Head-to-Head Record

The all-time series heavily favours Resovia Rzeszow. The teams have met four times, all on Jun 2, 2018, in III Liga, and Resovia won every single match by a 3-0 scoreline. However, those matches are old and took place in a lower league; with Resovia's current form, that historical dominance may not carry over.

League Table Positions

Neither Resovia Rzeszow nor Avia Swidnik appear in the top 12 of the II Liga standings as of the latest data. The table is led by Znicz Pruszkow (20 points) and Gornik Leczna (17). This indicates that both teams are in the lower half, likely fighting to avoid the relegation zone, which adds pressure and could lead to a cautious, low-scoring affair.

Win Probability: Resovia or Avia?

Based on the available odds, form, and stats, we calculate the following probabilities: Resovia Rzeszow win – 30%, draw – 35%, Avia Swidnik win – 35%. The initial market odds (average: home 2.37, draw 2.23, away 3.03) implied a 35% home win, 37% draw, and 28% away chance. However, adjusting for Resovia's dreadful run – four losses in five, with an empty attack and leaky defence – we downgrade their home advantage and shift probability toward the visitors and the draw. Avia's slightly better form, including a cup win, and Resovia's fragility tilt the balance, making the away win just as likely as the stalemate.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds from the data: home win 2.32–2.40, draw 2.18–2.25, away win 2.90–3.10. Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely outcome, which aligns with our adjusted probabilities. For betting tips, the value might lie on Avia Swidnik or the draw given Resovia's poor shape. Our final Resovia Rzeszow vs Avia Swidnik prediction: the match is likely to end in a draw or a narrow Avia Swidnik victory, with Under 2.5 goals a strong possibility based on the teams' scoring records.