Rio Ave - Estrela Amadora prediction 14 September 2026
Rio Ave
Estrela AmadoraRio Ave
FamalicaoLouletanoRio AveRio AveNacional MadeiraAlvercaRio AveRio AveEstrela AmadoraSanta ClaraRio AveRio AveSporting LisbonEstoril PraiaRio AveRio AveFC PortoGil VicenteRio AveRio AveTondelaPortimonenseRio AveCasa PiaRio AveRio AveSporting LisbonRio AveGil VicenteEstrela AmadoraCasa PiaFazendenseEstrela AmadoraAroucaEstrela AmadoraEstrela AmadoraAcademico ViseuRio AveEstrela AmadoraEstrela AmadoraBragaEstrela AmadoraFamalicaoNacional MadeiraEstrela AmadoraAlvercaEstrela AmadoraEstrela AmadoraSporting LisbonEstrela AmadoraAl Nassr RiyadhEstrela AmadoraNacional MadeiraBragaEstrela AmadoraEstrela AmadoraFamalicaoMoreirenseEstrela Amadora- 99E. van der GouwG
- 5A. NtoiM
- 24Pedro AmaralD
- 44T. NikitscherM
- 20Joรฃo TomรฉD
- 7Diogo BezerraM
- 11J. BlesaF
- 23F. PetrassoD
- 80S. ClemmensenM
- 3S. GarciaD
- 79M. PatricioM
- 18D. ล pikiฤ
- 19M. Sellouki
- 54G. Liavas
- 6N. Abbey
- 9Tamble Monteiro
- 32Vitor Hugo
- 17M. Vrousai
- 21R. ล iler
- 39Gustavo Mancha
- 30R. Galฤรญk
- 68Caike
- 70A. Wenck
- 99A. MarcusM
- 24Lรฉo LinckG
- 14L. ZvonarekM
- 37L. AntonettiF
- 5S. LekoviฤD
- 21M. ScholzeD
- 55Rafa SoaresD
- 10I. StoicaM
- 78Santiago SerraM
- 39Eddy DoueM
- 9Patrick LuanD
- 6K. Hรถรถg Jansson
- 22David Grilo
- 4Bernardo Schappo
- 3L. Mincarelli Davin
- 51Diogo Pinto
- 8Robinho
- 17Jefferson Encada
- 93B. Souza
- 80Alisson
- 19Joan Jordรกn
- 71E. Pedro Vanga
- 49R. Muteba
Rio AveEstrela AmadoraRio AveEstrela AmadoraEstrela AmadoraRio AveRio AveEstrela AmadoraEstrela AmadoraRio AveRio AveEstrela AmadoraRio AveEstrela AmadoraEstrela AmadoraRio AveEstrela AmadoraRio Ave| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 |
Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora Prediction (Sep 14)
Our Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora prediction for this Primeira Liga match on Sep 14 at 17:45 at Estรกdio dos Arcos points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds and form, Estrela Amadora enters as a slight favorite with a 38% win probability, while Rio Ave has a 35% chance and the draw is at 27%.
Team Form
Rio Ave's recent form is poor, with four losses in their last five matches (L, L, W, L, L). They suffered heavy defeats against Santa Clara (4-0) and Sporting Lisbon (4-0), and also lost to FC Porto (2-0) and Gil Vicente (1-0). Their only win came away at Estoril Praia (2-0).
Estrela Amadora is unbeaten in their last five (W, D, W, D, D). They secured a solid 2-1 home win against Braga and an away victory at Nacional Madeira (3-2). Draws against Famalicao (2-2), Alverca (2-2), and Sporting Lisbon (2-2) show they are consistently finding the net.
Head-to-Head Record
Rio Ave dominates this fixture historically with 6 wins in 8 meetings, compared to 1 win for Estrela Amadora and 1 draw. Rio Ave won the last two encounters: 2-1 at home in March 2026 and 2-1 away in October 2025. Estrela's only victory was a 1-0 home win in December 2024.
League Table Positions
Estrela Amadora sits 6th in the Primeira Liga with 9 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses), scoring 11 and conceding 9. Rio Ave is outside the top 12 in the provided standings, indicating a slow start to the season. Estrela's away record shows 4 points from 2 games (1 win, 1 draw).
Win Probability: Rio Ave or Estrela Amadora?
We calculate the win probabilities based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and head-to-head records. The inverse of the average odds (home: 2.82, draw: 2.15, away: 2.78) gives implied probabilities, which we adjust for Rio Ave's poor form and Estrela's unbeaten run, while respecting Rio Ave's strong H2H dominance. The final probabilities are: Rio Ave win: 35%, Draw: 27%, Estrela Amadora win: 38%. Estrela Amadora has a slight edge due to their consistent form, but Rio Ave's historical advantage at home keeps it close.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as an open match. The best available odds are: Rio Ave win at 3.10, Draw at 2.10, and Estrela Amadora win at 2.98. The low draw odds suggest a tight, potentially low-scoring game is expected. Based on the stats, Estrela Amadora's unbeaten run makes them the more likely winner, but a draw is a very realistic outcome given Rio Ave's need to bounce back at home.
Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora โ FAQ
- Who will win Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora?
- Estrela Amadora has a 38% chance of winning, making them the slight favorite. Rio Ave has a 35% win probability, and the draw is at 27%. The match is expected to be very close.
- What is the win probability for Estrela Amadora?
- Estrela Amadora has a 38% chance to win. This is based on their strong unbeaten form (W, D, W, D, D) and higher league position, balanced against Rio Ave's dominant head-to-head record.
- When is the Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora match?
- The match is on Sep 14 at 17:45 local time. It is a Primeira Liga fixture played at Estรกdio dos Arcos in Vila do Conde.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for the match vary by bookmaker. The best available odds are 3.10 for a Rio Ave win, 2.10 for a draw, and 2.98 for an Estrela Amadora win.