| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 13 | |
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 12 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 | |
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 9 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 9 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 | |
| 14 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
Welcome to this Plaza Colonia vs River Plate Montevideo prediction for the Segunda Division match on Oct 18 at 18:00. Based on the latest team form and overall standings, Plaza Colonia is the favorite with an approximate 42% chance of winning. The draw probability stands at 33%, and River Plate Montevideo has a 25% chance.
Plaza Colonia's last five results show inconsistency with a record of D, L, D, D, W. Their most recent match was a 1-1 draw away against La Luz on Oct 11. Before that, they suffered a 1-3 home loss to Cerrito on Oct 4. They have drawn three of their last four matches, indicating resilience but difficulty closing out games. Their home form this season is strong, remaining unbeaten with 2 wins and 1 draw in the league.
River Plate Montevideo's recent form reads W, L, W, D, L. Their last outing was a solid 3-1 home win against Oriental La Paz on Oct 10. However, on the road they have been less convincing, losing 2-3 at La Luz on Oct 4. Their away form in the league shows no wins yet, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss from three matches on the road.
The head-to-head record is evenly balanced overall: 5 wins for Plaza Colonia, 6 draws, and 5 wins for River Plate Montevideo. In their most recent meeting on Jul 11, 2026, River Plate Montevideo won 3-2 at home. Earlier this season on Mar 28, 2026, Plaza Colonia secured a dominant 3-0 home victory. The last fixture at this venue ended in a 1-1 draw. The history suggests tight contests, with draws occurring frequently.
Plaza Colonia sits 2nd in the Segunda Division with 12 points from 6 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses). They boast the league's best defensive record with only 2 goals conceded. River Plate Montevideo is not among the top 12 in the currently provided standings, suggesting a lower position. Plaza Colonia's home form is excellent, ranked 2nd in the home table with 7 points and a +5 goal difference. They are defensively solid, especially at home, conceding just 1 goal in 3 home games.
Analyzing the data, the win probabilities are: Plaza Colonia 42%, Draw 33%, River Plate Montevideo 25%. This calculation is based on the standings, where Plaza Colonia is a top team undefeated in the league, while River Plate Montevideo is lower in the table. The head-to-head record's high draw rate (6 out of 16 matches) justifies the elevated draw probability. River Plate's poor away form and Plaza Colonia's strong home defense further tilt the balance. Therefore, Plaza Colonia is more likely to win.
Odds for the 1X2 market are not available in the provided data. Considering the form, the league standings, and the home advantage, Plaza Colonia enters the match as the statistical favorite. The combination of their solid defense and River Plate's travel struggles points towards a low-scoring affair. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a home victory, but the frequent draws between these sides mean a stalemate cannot be ruled out.