Reilac Shiga FC - Roasso Kumamoto prediction 2 October 2026
Reilac Shiga FC
Roasso KumamotoReilac Shiga FC
Zweigen KanazawaTochigi SCReilac Shiga FCReilac Shiga FCSagamiharaFukushima United FCReilac Shiga FCReilac Shiga FCRoasso KumamotoNaraReilac Shiga FCReilac Shiga FCFC RyukyuReilac Shiga FCKagoshima UnitedReilac Shiga FCTokyo VerdyKamatamare SanukiReilac Shiga FCReilac Shiga FCGainare TottoriTheSpa Kusatsu GunmaReilac Shiga FCMatsumoto YamagaReilac Shiga FCReilac Shiga FCGifuTochigi CityReilac Shiga FCRoasso KumamotoGifuRoasso KumamotoGainare TottoriKamatamare SanukiRoasso KumamotoRoasso KumamotoEhime FCReilac Shiga FCRoasso KumamotoRoasso KumamotoKawasaki FrontaleTheSpa Kusatsu GunmaRoasso KumamotoRoasso KumamotoMatsumoto YamagaFukushima United FCRoasso KumamotoRoasso KumamotoNaraRoasso KumamotoOita TrinitaKochi United SCRoasso KumamotoRoasso KumamotoNagano ParceiroRoasso KumamotoTochigi SCSagamiharaRoasso KumamotoReilac Shiga FCRoasso KumamotoRoasso KumamotoReilac Shiga FCReilac Shiga FCRoasso Kumamoto| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kagoshima United | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | +11 | 29 |
| 2 |  Ehime FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:15 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  FC Osaka | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | +10 | 23 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 |  Nara | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Gifu | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 23:11 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sagamihara | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 22 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  Nagano Parceiro | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 |  Zweigen Kanazawa | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Reilac Shiga FC | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Tochigi SC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |  Gainare Tottori | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 |  Giravanz Kitakyushu | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 |  TheSpa Kusatsu Gunma | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 |  Fukushima United FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 |  Kochi United SC | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:28 | -23 | 5 |
Reilac Shiga FC vs Roasso Kumamoto Prediction (Oct 2)
Our Reilac Shiga FC vs Roasso Kumamoto prediction for the J3 League clash on Oct 2, 2026 at 11:00 leans heavily towards the visitors. Based on the latest team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Roasso Kumamoto has a 55% chance to win, while a draw stands at 25% and Reilac Shiga FC at just 20%.
Team Form
Reilac Shiga FC's recent form is patchy. Over their last five matches they have two wins and three losses. Most recently they suffered a 4-1 away defeat to Nara on Sep 26. At home they beat FC Ryukyu 3-0 but lost to Kagoshima United (1-2) and Tokyo Verdy (0-1 in the League Cup). Their only other win was a 3-0 away victory against Kamatamare Sanuki.
Roasso Kumamoto come into this game on an unbeaten run of five matches, recording three wins and two draws. Their latest result was a 1-0 away win at TheSpa Kusatsu Gunma. They drew 0-0 against Matsumoto Yamaga at home and 2-2 against Nara, with a 2-1 win at Fukushima United and a 2-0 home win over Oita Trinita in the League Cup. This consistency makes them the form side.
Head-to-Head Record
The two teams have met only twice in recent competitive fixtures, both in the 2026 J2 League. Each side won their home game: Reilac Shiga FC triumphed 1-0 on Mar 8, and Roasso Kumamoto responded with a 2-0 win on May 3. The head-to-head record gives no clear psychological edge to either team.
League Table Positions
In the overall J3 League table, Roasso Kumamoto sit 7th with 13 points from 8 games (3W, 4D, 1L), while Reilac Shiga FC are 9th with 12 points (4W, 0D, 4L). Roasso have been defensively solid, conceding only 4 goals all season compared to Reilac Shiga's 14 goals against.
The away form table paints an even clearer picture: Roasso Kumamoto rank 2nd with 3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, scoring 5 and conceding just 1 in 4 away matches. Reilac Shigaโs home form is poor โ from 4 home league games they have managed only 3 points, implying one win and three defeats. The home/away split strongly favors the visitors.
Win Probability: Reilac Shiga FC or Roasso Kumamoto?
Combining the form, head-to-head neutrality, and the stark contrast between Reilac Shiga's weak home record and Roasso Kumamotoโs flawless away campaign, we assign the following probabilities:
- Reilac Shiga FC win: 20%
- Draw: 25%
- Roasso Kumamoto win: 55%
Roasso Kumamotoโs defensive stability and unbeaten away streak give them a clear edge. Reilac Shigaโs home struggles make an upset unlikely, although a draw cannot be ruled out given Roassoโs tendency to draw matches this season.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakersโ odds are not currently available for this fixture. Based solely on the statistical analysis, the most likely outcome is an away win for Roasso Kumamoto. A low-scoring game is also probable, given Roassoโs tight defence and moderate attacking numbers.
Prediction: Reilac Shiga FC 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto
Reilac Shiga FC vs Roasso Kumamoto โ FAQ
- Who will win Reilac Shiga FC vs Roasso Kumamoto?
- Roasso Kumamoto is the clear favorite. Our probability model gives them a 55% chance of winning, with a draw at 25% and a Reilac Shiga FC victory at just 20%.
- What is the win probability for Roasso Kumamoto?
- Roasso Kumamoto has a 55% win probability. This high figure reflects their unbeaten away record (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 goal conceded in 4 matches) and Reilac Shiga FCโs poor home form of just 3 points from 4 home games.
- When is the Reilac Shiga FC vs Roasso Kumamoto match?
- The match takes place on Oct 2, 2026 at 11:00. It will be played in the J3 League, Japan.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Match odds for Reilac Shiga FC vs Roasso Kumamoto are not currently available from bookmakers. The prediction is based entirely on form, head-to-head records, and league standings.