Rochdale - Liverpool U21 prediction 22 September 2026

The Rochdale vs Liverpool U21 prediction for this EFL Trophy match on Sep 22 at 19:00 points to a home win. Based on the available data, Rochdale has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Liverpool U21 has a 25% chance.

Team Form

Rochdale's recent form across their last five matches reads W, D, L, W, L. In their most recent outing, they secured a 2-0 home victory against Oldham Athletic in League 2. Prior to that, they played out a 0-0 draw away at Walsall. Their home form has been particularly strong, with wins over Oldham Athletic and Shrewsbury Town (3-0) in their last two matches at their own ground.

Liverpool U21's last five results show W, L, W, D, D. They come into this match on the back of a dominant 5-1 home win against Brighton U21 in the Premier League 2 U21. However, their away form is less convincing, with a 1-0 defeat at West Ham U21 and a 1-1 draw at Everton U21 in their recent travels.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited to a single previous meeting. In that FA Trophy clash on Sep 20, 2022, Rochdale emerged as 1-0 winners at home. This gives Rochdale a historical edge, with one win and no draws or wins for Liverpool U21.

League Table Positions

Rochdale competes in League 2, the fourth tier of English football, while Liverpool U21 plays in the Premier League 2 U21, a development league. The difference in competitive levels often gives senior sides an advantage in the EFL Trophy, where League 2 teams typically outperform academy sides.

Win Probability: Rochdale or Liverpool U21?

Rochdale has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Liverpool U21 has a 25% chance. This calculation is based on the average bookmaker odds, which imply a home win probability of around 50% after removing the margin. We have slightly adjusted this downward to 48% to account for Liverpool U21's attacking potential, as seen in their 5-1 win. Rochdale's strong home form and the head-to-head record support their favorite status, but the visitors' ability to score goals introduces some uncertainty.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Rochdale as the clear favorite. The best available odds for a home win are 2.05, while a draw is priced at 4.03 and an away win for Liverpool U21 at 3.22. Other bookmakers offer shorter prices on the home win, with some as low as 1.90. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Rochdale victory, but the odds suggest it will be a competitive match.