RAEC Mons - Rochefort prediction 21 October 2026

The RAEC Mons vs Rochefort prediction for Oct 21, 2026, covers a First Amateur Division match in Belgium. Kick-off is at 19:00 local time. Based on the stats, RAEC Mons has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Rochefort has a 26% chance.

Team Form

RAEC Mons have produced mixed results in their last five matches in all competitions: a 0–0 draw at home against RC Sporting Charleroi in the Cup, a 2–2 draw at RSC Habay-La-Neuve, a 2–3 loss at Standard Liege 2, a 4–0 home win over FC Flenu, and a 5–2 away win at Onhaye. That record includes two wins, two draws, and one defeat.

Rochefort are unbeaten in their last five matches, with two wins and three draws. They drew 3–3 at home with Gent in the Cup, won 3–0 away at Meux, beat Standard Liege 2 1–0 at home, drew 1–1 away at RW Daring Molenbeek Brussels 47, and drew 1–1 at home with RC Sporting Charleroi II.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favours RAEC Mons. In all recent H2H matches between these teams, RAEC Mons have won 3, Rochefort have won 1, and 3 matches have ended in draws.

• Apr 11, 2026: Rochefort 1–3 RAEC Mons
• Feb 28, 2026: RAEC Mons 3–0 Rochefort
• Feb 8, 2026: Rochefort 3–1 RAEC Mons
• Aug 30, 2025: RAEC Mons 5–0 Rochefort
• May 4, 2025: Rochefort 1–1 RAEC Mons

RAEC Mons have won three of the last five meetings, including the most recent encounter 3–1 away from home.

League Table Positions

Rochefort are 3rd in the First Amateur Division standings with 17 points from 8 matches. They have 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 17 goals and conceding 7. RAEC Mons are 8th with 11 points from 8 matches, recording 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 18 goals scored and 15 conceded.

The away/home split shows Rochefort are 2nd in the away table with 10 points from 4 away games, while RAEC Mons are 6th in the home table with 7 points from 4 home matches. Despite Rochefort's higher league position, the home advantage and H2H record support RAEC Mons.

Win Probability: RAEC Mons or Rochefort?

Our win probability calculation uses the supplied 1X2 odds as a base. The best odds in the data are 2.38 for a RAEC Mons win, 2.40 for a draw, and 3.80 for a Rochefort win. After removing the bookmaker margin, the initial probabilities are approximately 38% for RAEC Mons, 38% for a draw, and 24% for Rochefort.

Adjusting for team form, head-to-head, and home/away splits gives the final match outcome chances:

• RAEC Mons win: 42%
• Draw: 32%
• Rochefort win: 26%

So RAEC Mons has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Rochefort has a 26% chance. The home side is the more likely winner, but the draw is a real possibility given the close odds and Rochefort's unbeaten away record.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds from the bookmakers in the data range from 2.30 to 2.38 for RAEC Mons, 2.25 to 2.40 for the draw, and 3.75 to 3.80 for Rochefort. Bookmakers see RAEC Mons as the favourite, with the draw odds unusually close to the home win.

Based on the stats, the strongest betting tips are a home win or draw. RAEC Mons have scored heavily in recent home matches, while Rochefort have kept things tight away from home. Total goals could go either way, but the match outcome prediction is RAEC Mons to win.