PK Keski-Uusimaa - RoPS Rovaniemen prediction 19 September 2026

Our PK Keski-Uusimaa vs RoPS Rovaniemen prediction for the Ykkonen matchup on Sep 19, 2026 (13:00) sees the hosts as slight favourites. Based on bookmakers' odds, recent form and the head-to-head record, PK Keski-Uusimaa holds a 36% win probability, while RoPS Rovaniemen has a 31% chance and the draw is rated at 33%.

Team Form

PK Keski-Uusimaa's last five outings (most recent first):

• Lost 2-3 to Tampere United (Sep 12)
• Won 2-0 at TPV (Aug 29)
• Drew 2-2 at home with JJK Jyvaskyla (Aug 21)
• Drew 2-2 at KuPS Akatemia (Aug 16)
• Won 1-0 at home against Inter Turku II (Aug 11)

That run reads L-W-D-D-W, showing inconsistency but only one loss. At home, PK Keski-Uusimaa have been difficult to beat, losing just twice in 11 league matches this season.

RoPS Rovaniemen's last five results:

• Drew 1-1 at home with OLS (Sep 12)
• Won 2-0 at home against VJS Vantaa (Aug 29)
• Lost 0-4 at Tampere United (Aug 22)
• Drew 3-3 at OLS (Aug 15)
• Won 2-1 at home vs KuPS Akatemia (Aug 11)

The sequence is D-W-L-D-W. The heavy 4-0 defeat at Tampere United stands out, but otherwise form has been solid with two wins and two draws.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings, RoPS Rovaniemen lead with 3 wins to PK Keski-Uusimaa's 1, plus 1 draw:

• Jul 5, 2026: RoPS Rovaniemen 4-3 PK Keski-Uusimaa
• Apr 18, 2026: PK Keski-Uusimaa 0-2 RoPS Rovaniemen
• Sep 13, 2025: PK Keski-Uusimaa 2-2 RoPS Rovaniemen
• Jul 2, 2025: PK Keski-Uusimaa 0-4 RoPS Rovaniemen
• Apr 12, 2025: RoPS Rovaniemen 0-5 PK Keski-Uusimaa

Despite RoPS' overall edge, PK's lone victory was emphatic (5-0 away), and the most recent clash was a narrow 4-3 win for RoPS at home. The H2H points to goals and entertainment.

League Table Positions

RoPS Rovaniemen sit 2nd in the Ykkonen with 41 points from 23 matches (11W, 8D, 4L, 48-33 goals). PK Keski-Uusimaa are 5th on 35 points (9W, 8D, 6L, 42-33 goals). The gap is just six points.

Home form: PK Keski-Uusimaa have collected 17 points from 11 home games (4W, 5D, 2L, 20-17 goals) – ranked 7th in the home table. Away form: RoPS Rovaniemen have taken 16 points from 11 away trips (4W, 4D, 3L, 19-20 goals) – ranked 4th in the away table. So PK are slightly more solid at home than RoPS are on the road, but the margins are fine.

PK Keski-Uusimaa vs RoPS Rovaniemen Prediction & Win Probability

The win probabilities after analysing odds, form and head-to-head records are:

• PK Keski-Uusimaa win: 36%
• Draw: 33%
• RoPS Rovaniemen win: 31%

These percentages start from the inverse of the odds (home 2.45, draw 2.65, away 2.80), normalised to remove the bookmaker margin. PK’s resilient home record (only two losses, five draws) and RoPS’ mixed away results (three losses, four draws) justify a slight upward adjustment for the home side. The head-to-head advantage for RoPS prevents a bigger favourite tag for PK. Overall, PK Keski-Uusimaa are the narrow favourites, but a draw is a highly realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' 1X2 odds are:

• PK Keski-Uusimaa: 2.45
• Draw: 2.65
• RoPS Rovaniemen: 2.80

The market agrees with the data: PK Keski-Uusimaa are priced as the favourite, but the margins are tight. Given the high draw frequency in PK’s home games and RoPS’ away draws, a bet on the home win or draw (double chance) covers the two most likely outcomes. Based on the stats, PK Keski-Uusimaa are the most probable winner, but the contest is too close to declare a clear result. A low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.