CA Sarmiento - Rosario Central prediction 31 October 2026

Our Rosario Central vs CA Sarmiento prediction for this Primera Division match on October 31, 2026, points to an away win. Based on form, head-to-head records, and betting odds, Rosario Central has a 45% probability of winning, while CA Sarmiento has a 22% chance, with the draw at 33%.

Team Form

CA Sarmiento have been inconsistent. Their last five matches: L, D, D, W, L. They lost 0–2 at Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata, drew 1–1 at home to Barracas Central and 1–1 at home to River Plate, won 3–1 at Aldosivi, and lost 1–3 at Racing Club Avellaneda. Only one win in five underlines their struggle for consistency.

Rosario Central are in excellent shape. Their last five results: W, W, W, D, W. They beat CA Huracan 2–0 at home, won 3–2 at Atletico Tucuman, thrashed Independiente Rivadavia 5–0 at home, drew 1–1 at Banfield, and defeated Argentinos Juniors 1–0 at home. With four wins and a draw in that run, they enter the match with high confidence.

Head-to-Head Record

Across nine Primera Division and cup meetings, CA Sarmiento have won 3, Rosario Central 4, with 2 draws. Recent encounters strongly favour the away side: Rosario Central have been unbeaten in the last four, winning three and drawing one. Key results include Rosario Central 2–1 CA Sarmiento (April 2026), CA Sarmiento 0–1 Rosario Central (October 2025), and a 0–0 draw in August 2025. Rosario Central have kept three clean sheets in those four games.

League Table Positions

In the overall Primera Division standings, Rosario Central sit 7th with 28 points after 16 matches (8 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses). CA Sarmiento are not in the top 12. However, home/away splits reveal balance: CA Sarmiento are 4th in the home table with 5 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses (16 points from 8 games). Rosario Central rank 5th in the away table with 4 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses (14 points from 8 games). Both sides perform solidly in their respective contexts.

Win Probability: Rosario Central or CA Sarmiento?

Based on odds, form, H2H, and table data, Rosario Central have a 45% chance of winning, the draw stands at 33%, and CA Sarmiento have a 22% chance. While bookmakers initially saw a tight match (away win odds as low as 1.91), Rosario Central’s superb form and dominant recent head-to-head record tilt the probabilities firmly in their favour. CA Sarmiento’s home advantage — they rank 4th in home standings — keeps the draw and home win plausible, but the visitors are the most likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds from multiple bookmakers show variation: CA Sarmiento home win is priced between 3.60 and 4.20, the draw between 2.02 and 3.35, and Rosario Central away win between 1.91 and 2.50. The best available away price of 2.50 indicates value, while the draw is also well-backed. Our prediction aligns with these numbers, but we emphasise that Rosario Central’s 45% win probability is the highest of the three outcomes. A bet on the away side looks the most data-backed option.