Rosenborg 2 - Melhus prediction 2 October 2026

Our Rosenborg 2 vs Melhus prediction for this 3rd Division clash on Oct 2, 2026, at 18:00 leans towards the home side. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Rosenborg 2 has a 42% chance of winning, while Melhus sits at 36%, with a draw at 22%.

Team Form

Rosenborg 2 come into this match with a mixed bag of results. Their last five outings show two impressive away wins followed by three consecutive defeats: a 7-1 thrashing of Aalesund FK 2, a 4-0 victory at Spjelkavik, then losses to Nardo FK (2-5), Byasen (1-2), and Molde 2 (0-3). The recent attacking displays suggest they can be lethal on their day.

Melhus, on the other hand, have struggled for consistency. Their last five matches ended in four losses and just one win: a 0-1 home defeat to Spjelkavik, a 0-1 loss at Molde 2, a 1-2 home reverse against Volda, a 4-1 away win at Herd, and a 0-1 home loss to Strindheim. With only one victory in that run, their confidence may be fragile.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record between these two sides is closely contested: Rosenborg 2 have 4 wins, Melhus 3, and 1 draw from their eight previous meetings. However, recent encounters favour the visitors. In the last five clashes, Melhus have won three, Rosenborg 2 one, with one draw. The most recent match, on Jun 19, 2026, ended in a 1-1 stalemate at Melhus. Before that, Melhus triumphed 3-2 away and 4-1 at home, while Rosenborg 2’s sole recent win was a 2-0 home success back in September 2022.

Win Probability: Rosenborg 2 or Melhus?

We calculate the outcome probabilities using the bookmakers' odds as a baseline, then adjust for recent form and head-to-head trends. The raw implied chances from the 1X2 market (home 2.20, draw 4.20, away 2.35) are normalized to remove the margin, giving Rosenborg 2 a 40.6% chance, the draw 21.3%, and Melhus 38.1%. Factoring in Rosenborg 2’s explosive recent away wins and home advantage, we raise their win probability slightly. Melhus’s poor current form and historical edge balance each other out. The final assessment: Rosenborg 2 has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 22%, and Melhus has a 36% chance. The home side is the more likely winner, but it’s a tight contest.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this fixture are: Rosenborg 2 win at 2.20, a draw at 4.20, and a Melhus victory at 2.35. Bookmakers see this as an open match, with Rosenborg 2 as marginal favourites. Based on the stats, our Rosenborg 2 vs Melhus prediction sides with the home team to edge it, but the draw is a live possibility given the H2H history. A bet on Rosenborg 2 to win offers value if they can replicate their recent scoring form.