Valerenga Women - Rosenborg Kvinner Women prediction 4 October 2026

Looking for a Rosenborg Kvinner Women vs Valerenga Women prediction? This Toppserien Women clash takes place on June 20, 2026 at 15:30. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, Rosenborg Kvinner Women hold a 40% win probability, while Valerenga Women have a 35% chance — a draw stands at 25%. Read on for in-depth betting tips and key stats.

Team Form

Rosenborg Kvinner Women's last four matches (excluding this fixture): a 4-4 draw away at Lyn Women (Jun 13), a 0-1 home loss to Lillestrom SK Kvinner Women (May 30), a 3-2 away win at Molde Women (May 26), and a 0-4 away loss to Arna Bjornar Women in the Cup (May 20). Their form reads D-L-W-L, showing inconsistency.

Valerenga Women's last four matches (excluding this one): a 1-2 home loss to Fortuna Alesund Women in the Cup (Jun 17), a 0-3 home loss to Brann Sandviken Women (Jun 13), a 0-2 away loss at Lyn Women (May 31), and a 7-1 home win against Bodo Glimt Women (May 26). That's three straight defeats before a huge win, leaving them with form L-L-L-W.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall head-to-head: 31 meetings – 13 Rosenborg wins, 6 draws, 12 Valerenga wins. Recent meetings heavily favour Valerenga: they've won three of the last four, including a 0-2 win at Rosenborg in the Cup (Nov 23, 2025), a 3-1 away league win (Nov 7, 2025), and a 2-0 home win (May 15, 2025). Rosenborg's sole recent success was a 2-0 home win on Apr 16, 2025.

League Table Positions

Rosenborg Kvinner Women sit 3rd in Toppserien Women with 24 points from 12 games (7W 3D 2L). They are strong at home: 3rd with 13 points from 6 home matches (4W 1D 1L). Valerenga Women are 4th with 19 points from 12 games (6W 1D 5L) and sit 6th in the away table with 7 points from 5 away games (2W 1D 2L). Rosenborg lead by 5 points and have a game in hand.

Win Probability: Rosenborg Kvinner Women or Valerenga Women?

We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Rosenborg Kvinner Women win – 40%, draw – 25%, Valerenga Women win – 35%. This assessment factors in Rosenborg's higher league position and home edge, balanced against their mixed recent form and Valerenga's dominant recent head-to-head record. Rosenborg are marginal favourites but cannot afford complacency.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this fixture. Based on the win probability model, Rosenborg Kvinner Women are seen as slight favourites. A home win might offer value if odds drift above 2.50, but caution is advised given Valerenga's strong H2H form. A draw could also be a sensible pick given the evenly matched records.