Floya - Rosenborg prediction 16 September 2026

The Rosenborg vs Floya prediction for this Norway Cup clash on September 16, 2026, at 16:00 leans heavily towards the Eliteserien side. Based on the huge gap in league levels and recent form, Rosenborg has a 70% chance of winning, while Floya’s home advantage gives them just a 10% shot at an upset.

Team Form

Floya comes into this match in excellent shape, with four wins and one draw in their last five outings across all competitions. They demolished Ulfstind 7-0 at home, beat Skjervoy 3-1 away, and edged Junkeren 5-3 in the Cup. The only minor blip was a 2-2 home draw against Skjetten in the 3rd Division.

Rosenborg’s recent form is equally impressive: four wins and one loss. They thrashed Ham-Kam 4-0 and Tromso 5-3 at home, and secured a 2-0 away win at Lillestrom. The sole defeat came against Bodo/Glimt (4-2 away), a top Eliteserien side. Rosenborg has scored 15 goals in their last five matches, showing devastating attacking power.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between Floya and Rosenborg. This will be the first ever meeting between the two clubs, so no historical data can influence the prediction.

League Table Positions

No current league table positions are available in the data. However, the recent match logs clearly show Rosenborg competing in the Eliteserien (Norway’s top flight), while Floya plays in the 3rd Division – a gap of three tiers. This difference in quality is the single most important factor for the match outcome.

Win Probability: Rosenborg or Floya?

After analyzing all available stats, the win probabilities are:

• Rosenborg win: 70%
• Draw: 20%
• Floya win: 10%

Rosenborg’s superior league level, consistent winning form against stronger opponents, and high-scoring attack make them the clear favorite. Floya’s perfect home record in recent matches and the Cup’s unpredictable nature give them a slim chance, but the class difference is too large to ignore. The draw probability is moderate, as Cup ties can sometimes be tight, but Rosenborg’s firepower should settle the tie in regular time.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture at the time of writing. Based purely on the stats, the logical prediction is a Rosenborg victory. The visitors have been ruthless in front of goal, and even away from home they should have too much quality for a 3rd Division side. Expect Rosenborg to win, likely with a margin of two or more goals.