Rotherham United - Bradford City prediction 6 October 2026

Rotherham United vs Bradford City prediction for the EFL Trophy clash on October 6, 2026. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Bradford City enters this match as the favorite with a 43% win probability, while Rotherham United has a 22% chance and the draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

Rotherham United's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded one win, three draws, and one loss. They suffered a 1-0 defeat away to Exeter City on October 3, drew 1-1 at home with Crewe Alexandra on September 26, played a 1-1 draw at York City in the EFL Trophy on September 22, secured a 1-0 win at Northampton Town on September 19, and drew 3-3 at home with Salford City on September 12. The team has struggled to convert draws into wins, which is a concern.

Bradford City, on the other hand, is in excellent form. They are unbeaten in their last five outings, with four wins and one draw. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw away to Reading on October 3. Before that, they beat Newcastle United U21 2-1 at home in the EFL Trophy on September 22, won 1-0 at Luton Town on September 19, won 1-0 at Notts County on September 12, and thrashed Leyton Orient 3-1 away in the League Cup on September 8. Bradford’s attack has been efficient, and their defense has kept three clean sheets in those five matches. Notably, Bradford City plays in League 1, a tier above Rotherham United's League 2, which adds to their advantage.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these two sides is closely contested. In nine previous meetings, Rotherham United has won four times, Bradford City has won three, and two matches ended in draws. The last five encounters have been particularly tight: Bradford won 1-0 at home on February 24, 2026; the teams drew 0-0 on January 10, 2026; they drew 2-2 on October 2, 2025; Bradford won 1-0 in the EFL Trophy on February 4, 2025; and Rotherham won 1-0 in the same competition on November 19, 2024. Bradford has had the upper hand in the most recent clashes, winning two of the last three.

Rotherham United vs Bradford City Prediction: Win Probability

After analyzing the bookmaker odds and adjusting for current form and head-to-head trends, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Rotherham United has a 22% chance of winning, the draw has a 35% probability, and Bradford City has a 43% chance. The odds implied probabilities, derived from multiple bookmakers, initially suggested a close contest with a slight edge for Bradford. However, Bradford’s superb recent form—four wins in five—and their solid away performances tip the balance further in their favor. Rotherham’s home advantage is offset by their inability to secure wins, with three draws in their last five. Therefore, Bradford City is the more likely winner, but a draw remains a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this EFL Trophy fixture show Bradford City as the favorite. The best available odds for a Rotherham United win range from 3.10 to 3.50, the draw is priced between 2.12 and 3.50, and a Bradford City victory is offered at 2.01 to 2.30. These odds reflect the market’s view that Bradford has the highest chance of success. Our prediction, based on the stats, is that Bradford City is the most likely winner, but given Rotherham’s tendency to draw, a stalemate cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, the draw or Bradford win double chance could be a safer option. Always gamble responsibly.