Przemsza Siewierz - Rozwoj Katowice prediction 1 October 2026

Our Przemsza Siewierz vs Rozwoj Katowice prediction for this IV Liga match on October 1, 2026, at 15:00, points to a tight contest with the home side holding a slight edge. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Przemsza Siewierz has a 52% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 22% and an away victory for Rozwoj Katowice at 26%.

Team Form

Przemsza Siewierz enters this fixture in poor shape, having lost four and drawn one of their last five matches—all played away from home. They suffered heavy defeats against GKS Katowice II (6-1), Ruch Chorzow II (2-1), Polonia Laziska Gorne (1-0), and Szombierki Bytom (3-1), with a lone 2-2 draw at Piast Gliwice II. The attack has managed just 5 goals in that span while conceding 14.

Rozwoj Katowice’s recent form is mixed but clearly better. Over their last five outings (three at home, two away), they recorded wins against Ruch Radzionkow (1-0) and Victoria Czestochowa (5-1), a 3-3 draw with KS Kuznia Ustron, and losses to Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala II (5-1) and KS Spojnia Landek (1-4). They have scored 11 goals and conceded 13 in these matches, showing both potency and defensive vulnerability.

Head-to-Head Record

The two previous meetings between these sides both ended in 2-2 draws. The most recent, on August 15, 2025, at Przemsza Siewierz, and the earlier one on May 17, 2025, at Rozwoj Katowice, underline how evenly matched they have been. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Przemsza Siewierz, 2 draws, and 0 wins for Rozwoj Katowice.

League Table Positions

No league table data is available for this match, so a direct comparison of points and positions cannot be made.

Win Probability: Przemsza Siewierz or Rozwoj Katowice?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Przemsza Siewierz win – 52%, draw – 22%, Rozwoj Katowice win – 26%. These figures are derived from the bookmakers’ odds (home 1.57, draw 4.75, away 3.80) after removing the margin, then adjusted for recent form and the head-to-head record. The home side’s poor run (0 wins in 5) reduces their initial implied probability, while the two previous draws and Rozwoj Katowice’s slightly better form lift the chances of an away result. Nevertheless, home advantage and the odds still make Przemsza Siewierz the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds are: home win at 1.57, draw at 4.75, and away win at 3.80. Bookmakers clearly see Przemsza Siewierz as the favorite. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a narrow home victory, but the high draw odds and the history of stalemates between these teams make the draw a tempting betting tip. Our final prediction: Przemsza Siewierz to win, but with low confidence given the form disparity. A 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline would not surprise.