Rubio Nu - 2 de Mayo prediction 26 September 2026

The Rubio Nu vs 2 de Mayo prediction for September 30, 2026, centres on a closely contested Primera Division match in Paraguay. According to our analysis, 2 de Mayo holds a 45% win probability, the draw is at 35%, and Rubio Nu has a 20% chance of taking all three points.

Team Form

Rubio Nu’s last five league outings have produced just one win (D, L, L, L, W). On September 1 they beat Sportivo San Lorenzo 3–1 at home, but since then they lost 4–2 at Club Libertad Asuncion, fell 1–0 at home to Nacional Asuncion, lost 1–0 at Cerro Porteno, and drew 2–2 at home with 2 de Mayo. Threeof those five were at home, yielding a win, a draw, and a loss.

2 de Mayo’s recent form reads D, L, L, W, D. They drew 2–2 away at Sportivo Luqueno on September1, won 2–1 away at Sportivo San Lorenzo on September5, lost 2–0 at home to Club Libertad Asuncion on September11, were beaten 3–0 away by Nacional Asuncion on September18, and then secured the 2–2 draw awayat Rubio Nu on September26. Thatmakes one win, two draws, and two losses inthe last five.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head record between Rubio Nu and 2 de Mayo massively favours the away side. In 13meetings, the home team has never won–there have been 6 draws and 7 away victories. The most recent five encounters underscore the pattern:

• Sep 26, 2026: Rubio Nu 2–2 2 de Mayo
• Jul 24, 2026: 2 de Mayo 1–0 Rubio Nu
• May 9, 2026: 2 de Mayo 2–0 Rubio Nu
• Mar 8, 2026: Rubio Nu 0–1 2 de Mayo
• Jul 31, 2023: 2 de Mayo 2–0 Rubio Nu

Rubio Nu has yet to record a single win in this fixture, and 2 de Mayo has left with all three points on four of those five occasions.

League Table Positions

In the Primera Division overall standings, Rubio Nu sits9th with 23 points from 21 matches (6 wins,5 draws,10 losses;goals 15–24). 2 de Mayo is 10th with 22 points from 22 games (5 wins,7 draws,10 losses;goals 18–35). Rubio Nu’s home record (inferred) is 3 wins, 3 draws,5 losses from 11 games–identical in points to 2 de Mayo’s away record of 3 wins, 3 draws,5 losses from 11 outings. Both teams have struggled for consistency, with Rubio Nu carrying a slight advantage in points per game (1.10 vs1.00).

Win Probability: Rubio Nu or 2 de Mayo?

After weighting head-to-head history, current form, league positions, and the home/away factor, we calculate the following probabilities:

• Rubio Nu win:20%
• Draw:35%
• 2 de Mayo win:45%

The most influential factor is the H2H record, where the away team has won 7 of 13 meetings and the home side has never prevailed. Additionally, 2 de Mayo’s recent away win at Sportivo San Lorenzo and the draw at Rubio Nu contrast with Rubio Nu’s three losses in four matches before that draw. Rubio Nu’s home form (3–3–5) does not suggest an obvious advantage. Consequently, 2 de Mayo is the likelier winner, but the high historical draw rate (46% of H2H matches) and the most recent result (2–2) point to a significant chance of a share of the points.

Odds & Match Prediction

The provided data does not include bookmaker odds, so we rely solely on statistical indicators. Based on the numbers, the most probable match outcome is an away win for 2 de Mayo, yet the draw cannot be ruled out. A low-scoring game is expected given Rubio Nu’s home goal average of 0.91 goals per game and 2 de Mayo’s away record of0.82 goals per game.