Rudar Pljevlja - Berane prediction 30 September 2026

Rudar Pljevlja vs Berane prediction for the 2 CFL clash on Sep 30 at 14:00. Based on odds, form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Rudar Pljevlja has a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Berane enters with a 20% probability.

Team Form

Rudar Pljevlja's last five matches show a mixed run: L, D, W, D, D. They lost 3-1 away to Grbalj Radanovici, drew 1-1 at home with FK Kom Podgorica, won 4-2 at Lovcen, then recorded two more draws: 2-2 at home against FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje and 1-1 away to FK Podgorica. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 9 in this stretch, often competitive but struggling to close out wins.

Berane comes into this fixture in far worse shape: L, L, D, L, L. They fell 3-2 at home to FK Podgorica, were crushed 3-0 at Grbalj Radanovici, played a goalless draw at FK Kom Podgorica, and lost 1-0 at home to Iskra Danilovgrad and 1-0 away to FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje. Just 2 goals scored and 8 conceded in those five games – the league's bottom side is desperately short of confidence.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five meetings between these Montenegrin second-tier sides show a clear pattern:

• May 3, 2026: Berane 0-1 Rudar Pljevlja
• Mar 14, 2026: Rudar Pljevlja 0-0 Berane
• Nov 1, 2025: Berane 0-2 Rudar Pljevlja
• Sep 10, 2025: Rudar Pljevlja 0-0 Berane
• Oct 28, 2019: Berane 4-0 Rudar Pljevlja

Overall, Rudar Pljevlja leads the recent series with 2 wins, 2 draws, and Berane's single victory dating back to 2019. Rudar are unbeaten in the last four head-to-head encounters, including two clean-sheet wins away.

League Table Positions

Rudar Pljevlja sits 7th in the 2 CFL with 9 points from 8 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses; goals 10:14). At home, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss from 4 outings, collecting 5 points – not spectacular, but solid enough.

Berane is rooted to the bottom in 10th place with just 2 points (0 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses; goals 5:14). They are yet to win a league match this season, and their away form is equally bleak – they are not among the top eight away performers, underlining their travel struggles. The gap between the two teams is already 7 points, even at this early stage.

Win Probability: Rudar Pljevlja or Berane?

The bookmakers' average odds imply a win probability around 40% for Rudar Pljevlja, 34% for the draw, and 26% for Berane. After factoring in current form – Rudar's 1W-3D-1L run vs Berane's 0W-1D-4L – the head-to-head trend (Rudar unbeaten in four), and the significant league table gap (7th vs 10th), we adjust these raw probabilities.

Our final win probability assessment: Rudar Pljevlja win: 50%, draw: 30%, Berane win: 20%. Rudar Pljevlja is the clear favorite, but the hosts' tendency to draw (3 of their last 5) makes a stalemate a real possibility. Berane's dreadful record and lack of goals make an away upset extremely unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Current odds from different bookmakers illustrate the home favorite status: one offers a Rudar Pljevlja home win at 2.50, the draw at 2.20, and Berane away win at 3.50. Another prices the home win at 2.00, the draw at 3.20, and the away win at 3.20. These numbers confirm that the market sees Rudar Pljevlja as the more likely winner, though the draw attracts low odds as well.

Based on the stats, Rudar Pljevlja should have enough to avoid defeat, but Berane's desperation could make for a tight contest. The most probable outcomes are a narrow home victory or a low-scoring draw. A bet on Rudar Pljevlja to win or a double-chance 1X are the safest betting tips, while the draw no bet market may also appeal to cautious punters.