Celta Vigo B - Sabadell prediction 26 September 2026

The Celta Vigo B vs Sabadell prediction for their Segunda clash on September 26, 2026, points to a tight contest with the visitors holding a slight edge. Based on form, head-to-head data, and bookmaker odds, the most probable outcome is a draw at 37%, with Sabadell winning 36% and Celta Vigo B just 27%.

Team Form

Celta Vigo B have been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. Their last two outings were a 0-2 defeat at Almeria and a heavy 0-4 home loss to Eibar. At the Estadio Municipal de Barreiro, they lost 1-2 to Castellon and beat FC Andorra 4-2, showing they can score but also concede. Overall, the home side has struggled to keep clean sheets.

Sabadell, meanwhile, arrive with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five. They beat Real Oviedo 3-1 at home, Cordoba 3-2, and Almeria 1-0, but fell 0-2 away to Mallorca and drew 0-0 at Castellon. The visitors are unbeaten in three of their last four and show solid defensive organization away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only twice in recent history. Sabadell won 2-1 at home in January 2024, while Celta Vigo B triumphed 4-2 at this venue in October 2023. Each side has protected home advantage, though the sample size is too small to draw firm conclusions.

League Table Positions

Sabadell sit 6th in the Segunda standings with 11 points from 6 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; 7 goals scored, 5 conceded). Celta Vigo B are outside the top 12, indicating a lower position and likely fewer points. The visitors also boast a perfect home record this season, but their two away trips have yielded only one point – a factor that adds uncertainty to this fixture.

Win Probability: Celta Vigo B or Sabadell?

Calculating the true chances from available odds (removing the bookmaker margin) and adjusting for recent form and league position:

• Celta Vigo B win: 27%
• Draw: 37%
• Sabadell win: 36%

The draw is the single most likely result. If a winner emerges, Sabadell are more probable than Celta Vigo B thanks to their stronger overall season and better rhythm, despite a modest away output so far. The home side’s defensive vulnerability (eight goals conceded in their last three home games) tips the balance slightly toward the visitors.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see the draw as the standout option, offering it as low as 2.10 in the 1X2 market. An away win for Sabadell trades around 2.50–2.62, while a Celta Vigo B victory is priced around 3.10–3.20. The market reflects the tight nature of the contest and the away side’s favoritism. Based on the stats, the most likely scenario is a stalemate, with a possible narrow Sabadell victory. Our prediction: Draw or Sabadell to win.