Sabadell - FC Andorra prediction 4 October 2026

Sabadell vs FC Andorra prediction for the Segunda clash on Oct 3, 2026, at 17:30 at Nova Creu Alta. Based on the stats, Sabadell enters this match as the strong favorite with a 55% win probability, while FC Andorra has just a 20% chance of causing an upset.

Team Form

Sabadell’s recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. They drew 1-1 away at Celta Vigo B on Sep 26, defeated Real Oviedo 3-1 at home on Sep 20, lost 2-0 at Mallorca on Sep 13, beat Cordoba CF 3-2 at home on Sep 7, and edged Almeria 1-0 at home on Aug 29. At Nova Creu Alta, they have a perfect record this season, scoring 7 goals and conceding 3 in three home league games.

FC Andorra’s form is poor. They managed just one win in their last five outings: a 3-2 away victory at Granada CF on Sep 26. The other four matches were all defeats—1-3 at home to Sporting Gijon (Sep 19), 1-3 at home to Real Sociedad B (Sep 12), 0-1 away at Valladolid (Sep 5), and 0-1 at home to Eibar (Aug 30). That run of four losses in five games highlights their struggle for consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met only once before, in a Friendly Clubs match on Aug 1, 2026. That game ended 0-0. With no competitive history in Segunda, there is little head-to-head evidence to shift the balance, so current form and home advantage become critical.

League Table Positions

Sabadell sit 6th in the Segunda overall standings with 12 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, 8 goals for, 6 against). At home, they are 3rd with a 100% record: 3 wins from 3, 7 goals scored, 3 conceded. FC Andorra are not among the top 12 teams in the overall table, so they are positioned lower than 13th. Their away form is also absent from the top eight, confirming they struggle on the road.

Win Probability: Sabadell or FC Andorra?

Sabadell has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and FC Andorra has a 20% chance. This calculation starts from bookmaker odds, then adjusts for team form, head-to-head record (only a friendly draw), and league positions. Sabadell’s perfect home record and superior recent results heavily tilt the probabilities in their favor. FC Andorra’s run of one win in five matches, combined with their lowly table position, leaves them as clear underdogs.

Odds & Match Prediction

Across four bookmakers, the average odds are 2.08 for a Sabadell win, 2.44 for the draw, and 3.64 for an FC Andorra away victory. Bookmakers see Sabadell as the favorite, and our adjusted probabilities reinforce that view. Considering the home side’s form, their 100% home league record, and FC Andorra’s poor results, a home win is the most likely outcome. The Sabadell vs FC Andorra prediction points to a confident home victory.