Saint George SC - Sheger Ketema prediction 26 October 2026
Saint George SC
Sheger KetemaSaint George SCSheger KetemaSaint George SC
Adama City KenemaSaint George SCEthiopia BunnaSaint George SCNegelle ArsiWelwalo AdigratSaint George SCSaint George SCFasil KenemaShire Endaselassie FCSaint George SCSaint George SCMekelakeya Defence Force SCDire DawaSaint George SCSaint George SCHawassa CityWolaita DichaSaint George SCSaint George SCMekelle KenemaEthiopia Nigd BankSaint George SCSaint George SCCafe Sidama BunnaSaint George SCEthiopia BunnaSaint George SCSheger KetemaEthio ElectricSheger KetemaAdama City KenemaSheger KetemaEthiopia BunnaSheger KetemaShire Endaselassie FCSheger KetemaSheger KetemaMekelakeya Defence Force SCDire DawaSheger KetemaSheger KetemaWelwalo AdigratFasil KenemaSheger KetemaSheger KetemaMekelle KenemaEthiopia Nigd BankSheger KetemaSheger KetemaCafe Sidama BunnaHawassa CitySheger KetemaSheger KetemaWolaita DichaBahir Dar KenemaSheger KetemaSaint George SCSheger KetemaSheger KetemaSaint George SCSaint George SCSheger Ketema| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Negelle Arsi | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 8 |
| 2 |  Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Ethio Electric | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 |  Bahir Dar Kenema | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Mekelakeya Defence Force SC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Wolaita Dicha | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 5 |
| 7 | Sheger Ketema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 |  Adama City Kenema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 |  Halaba Ketema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 |  Ethiopian Insurance Medhin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Hadiya Hossana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Saint George SC | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Ethiopia Bunna | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 |  Hawassa City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Fasil Kenema | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 |  Gamo Chencha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 |  Cafe Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Saint George SC vs Sheger Ketema Prediction (Oct 26, 2026)
The Saint George SC vs Sheger Ketema prediction for the Ethiopian Premier League match on October 26, 2026, at 12:00 points to a tight contest where the draw carries the highest probability. Bookmakers and form analysis give Sheger Ketema a 30% chance to win, slightly above Saint George SC's 25%, while the draw leads with 45%.
Team Form
Saint George SC come into this home match with just one win in their last five outings (W1 D3 L1). They drew 1-1 with Adama City Kenema on Oct 22, lost 1-2 to Ethiopia Bunna on Oct 17, and shared points with Negelle Arsi (1-1) and Welwalo Adigrat (1-1) earlier. The only victory was a 1-0 success over Fasil Kenema in June.
Sheger Ketemaโs recent form is stronger with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. They lost 0-1 at Ethio Electric on Oct 20, drew 0-0 at Adama City Kenema, then recorded three straight wins: 1-0 at Ethiopia Bunna, 2-0 at Shire Endaselassie FC, and a 2-0 home win against Mekelakeya Defence Force SC. Theyโve kept clean sheets in all three of those victories.
Head-to-Head Record
These two sides have met twice in the Premier League, with Sheger Ketema winning both encounters. On March 8, 2026, Sheger Ketema won 1-0 at home, and on November 3, 2025, they beat Saint George SC 1-0 at this very stadium. Saint George SC have yet to score against Sheger Ketema in competitive fixtures.
League Table Positions
In the overall Premier League standings, Saint George SC sit 12th with 2 points from three games (0W 2D 1L), while Sheger Ketema are 10th with 4 points (1W 1D 1L). Looking at home form, Saint George SC have yet to win at home this season (0W 2D 1L), earning just 2 points from three matches. Sheger Ketemaโs away record is more balanced: one win, one draw, and one loss from three away trips, giving them 4 points on the road.
Win Probability: Saint George SC or Sheger Ketema?
Calculating from bookmaker odds and adjusting for current form and head-to-head record, the win probabilities for this match are:
- Saint George SC win: 25%
- Draw: 45%
- Sheger Ketema win: 30%
The draw is clearly the single most likely outcome, reflecting Saint George SCโs struggles to secure wins at home and Sheger Ketemaโs defensive solidity on their travels. However, if there is a winner, Sheger Ketema โ with three clean-sheet victories in their last five and a perfect H2H record โ have a higher probability of claiming all three points than the hosts.
Odds & Match Prediction
Based on the average across several bookmakers, the odds for the 1X2 market are:
- Saint George SC home win: around 2.93
- Draw: around 1.82
- Sheger Ketema away win: around 4.22
These prices confirm the marketโs expectation of a low-scoring, draw-heavy contest. Our prediction aligns with the probabilities: the most likely result is a draw, but Sheger Ketema offer value as the more probable side to take the win if the match sees a decisive outcome. All betting tips are based on the stats and should be viewed as informed suggestions rather than guarantees.
Saint George SC vs Sheger Ketema โ FAQ
- Who will win Saint George SC vs Sheger Ketema?
- Based on our match analysis, the most likely outcome is a draw with a 45% probability. Sheger Ketema has a 30% chance to win, slightly higher than Saint George SC's 25% chance, making the away side the more probable winner if the match does not end level.
- What is the win probability for Sheger Ketema?
- Sheger Ketema has a 30% probability of beating Saint George SC on October 26, 2026. This figure is derived from the inverse of the bookmaker odds adjusted for recent form, where Sheger Ketema have won three of their last five matches, while Saint George SC have not won at home this season.
- When is the Saint George SC vs Sheger Ketema match?
- The match is scheduled for October 26, 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 local time (UTC+0). It will be played in the Ethiopian Premier League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer varied odds on the 1X2 market. On average, a home win for Saint George SC is priced around 2.93, a draw at 1.82, and an away win for Sheger Ketema at 4.22. These odds indicate a strong probability of a draw.
- What is the head-to-head record between Saint George SC and Sheger Ketema?
- Sheger Ketema have won both previous meetings in the Premier League. The scores were 1-0 on March 8, 2026, and 1-0 on November 3, 2025, with Saint George SC failing to score in either match.