Samobor - Zagorec Krapina prediction 3 October 2026

Croatia ยท Treca HNLFinished
Samobor
3:1
FT
Zagorec Krapina
Match Info
CompetitionTreca HNL ยท Croatia
Start date
Kick-off
Recent Form
Samobor
W
D
W
W
W
Zagorec Krapina
W
L
L
L
L
Recent matches ยท Samobor
Treca HNL
Samobor
Zagorec Krapina
31
W
Treca HNL
Precko
Samobor
11
D
Treca HNL
Samobor
Vrapce Zagreb
41
W
Treca HNL
Bistra
Samobor
12
W
Treca HNL
Precko
Samobor
15
W
Druga HNL
Naftas HASK Zagreb
Samobor
13
W
Treca HNL
Bistra
Samobor
20
L
Treca HNL
Lucko
Samobor
40
L
Treca HNL
Udarnik Kurilovec
Samobor
01
W
Treca HNL
Samobor
Naftas HASK Zagreb
10
W
Treca HNL
Gaj Mace
Samobor
30
L
Treca HNL
Maksimir Zagreb
Samobor
30
L
Druga HNL
Gaj Mace
Samobor
31
L
Treca HNL
Lucko
Samobor
10
L
Druga HNL
Gaj Mace
Samobor
13
W
Recent matches ยท Zagorec Krapina
Treca HNL
Zagorec Krapina
Ponikve
10
W
Treca HNL
Samobor
Zagorec Krapina
31
L
Treca HNL
Zagorec Krapina
Bistra
01
L
Cup
Zagorec Krapina
Istra 1961
05
L
Treca HNL
Zagorec Krapina
Vrapce Zagreb
24
L
Treca HNL
Inter Zapresic
Zagorec Krapina
40
L
Treca HNL
Zagorec Krapina
Maksimir Zagreb
40
W
Treca HNL
Zagorec Krapina
Bistra
11
D
Treca HNL
Gaj Mace
Zagorec Krapina
04
W
Treca HNL
Zagorec Krapina
Precko
31
W
Treca HNL
Zagorec Krapina
Ponikve
41
W
Treca HNL
Zagorec Krapina
Dinamo Odranski Obrez
00
D
Treca HNL
Zagorec Krapina
Inter Zapresic
11
D
Druga HNL
Precko
Zagorec Krapina
11
D
Treca HNL
Zagorec Krapina
Tekstilac Ravnice
30
W
Head-to-Head ยท summary
1
Samobor
0
Draws
0
Zagorec Krapina
Previous meetings
Treca HNL
Samobor
Zagorec Krapina
31
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1NK Pazinka1376027:8+1927
2Buje1376020:6+1427
3Pomorac1475222:8+1426
4Krk1473420:12+824
5NK Lokomotiva Rijeka1465328:22+623
6Kraljevica1557315:16-122
7Naprijed Hreljin1455418:14+420
8NK Banjole1454518:19-119
9Rudar Labin1446419:20-118
10Jadran Porec1545616:20-417
11Vinodol1444616:20-416
12Halubjan1443720:21-115
13OSK Omisalj1334614:25-1113
14NK Novalja1332814:26-1211
15Crikvenica141677:21-149
16Nehaj Sejn142399:25-169
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Samobor vs Zagorec Krapina Prediction (Oct 3, 2026)

Looking for a Samobor vs Zagorec Krapina prediction? Our analysis of the Treca HNL fixture on October 3, 2026, reveals a strong home favorite. Samoborโ€™s excellent form, combined with Zagorec Krapinaโ€™s dismal run, gives the hosts a 60% win probability, with the draw and away win both at 20%. This Samobor vs Zagorec Krapina betting tips article covers team form, head-to-head record, win probability, and the latest odds to help you decide who will win.

Team Form Analysis

Samoborโ€™s Recent Matches

Samobor enters the match unbeaten in five games (W4 D1). On Sep 4, 2026, they drew 1โ€‘1 away at Precko. Before that, a 4โ€‘1 home win over Vrapce Zagreb, a 2โ€‘1 away win at Bistra, a 5โ€‘1 away thrashing of Precko, and a 3โ€‘1 victory at Naftas HASK Zagreb. Over these five outings Samobor scored 15 goals and conceded only 5, proving their attack is clinical and their defence solid.

Zagorec Krapinaโ€™s Recent Matches

Zagorec Krapina are in terrible form, losing four of their last five. The single win was a 4โ€‘0 home result against Maksimir Zagreb on May 8, 2026. The defeats: 0โ€‘1 at home to Bistra, a 0โ€‘5 cup collapse at home to Istra 1961, 2โ€‘4 home loss against Vrapce Zagreb, and a 0โ€‘4 away defeat at Inter Zapresic. Zagorec scored only 6 goals in that period while conceding 14, highlighting major defensive problems.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record shows no previous meetings between Samobor and Zagorec Krapina. This will be the first competitive clash in available data, so neither side holds a historical advantage.

Win Probability: Samobor or Zagorec Krapina?

Based on odds and form, we calculate the match outcome probabilities: Samobor win โ€“ 60%, Draw โ€“ 20%, Zagorec Krapina win โ€“ 20%. The raw bookmaker odds (1.62 home) implied a 55.3% home win after removing the margin, but Samoborโ€™s outstanding recent results and Zagorecโ€™s poor run justify an upward adjustment. Home advantage further strengthens Samoborโ€™s position. Therefore, Samobor is the clear favorite to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The latest odds are: Samobor 1.62, Draw 4.00, Zagorec Krapina 4.00. Bookmakers see no serious threat from the away side. For betting tips, the home win at 1.62 offers reasonable value given the gulf in form.

Based on the stats, our prediction for Samobor vs Zagorec Krapina is a home win. Samoborโ€™s potent attack should exploit Zagorecโ€™s leaky defence, and a comfortable victory for the hosts is the most likely outcome.

Samobor vs Zagorec Krapina โ€” FAQ

Who will win Samobor vs Zagorec Krapina?
Samobor is the most likely winner with a 60% chance. The draw stands at 20%, and Zagorec Krapina has a 20% probability. This prediction is based on Samoborโ€™s strong form, home advantage, and Zagorecโ€™s poor recent results.
What is the win probability for Samobor?
Samobor has a 60% win probability. This figure is derived from bookmaker odds (home win 1.62) adjusted for the teamโ€™s four wins and one draw in their last five matches, against a Zagorec side that lost four of their last five.
When is the Samobor vs Zagorec Krapina match?
The match is scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 14:00 CET. It is a Treca HNL fixture in the Croatian third division.
What are the odds for the match?
The available odds show a home win for Samobor at 1.62, a draw at 4.00, and an away win for Zagorec Krapina at 4.00. Bookmakers clearly mark Samobor as the strong favorite.
Samobor โ€“ Zagorec Krapina ยท match page