San Antonio Cotacachi - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors prediction 16 October 2026

San Antonio Cotacachi vs Deportivo Cuenca Juniors prediction for the Serie B match on October 16, 2026 (19:00). Based on our analysis, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors has a 35% chance of winning, while San Antonio Cotacachi has a 25% chance, and the draw stands at 40%. The match takes place in Ecuador's second division, with both teams looking to improve their league positions.

Team Form

San Antonio Cotacachi comes into this game in poor shape. Their last five matches have yielded one draw and four defeats: a 1-2 loss at Atletico JBG Rojiblanco Guayaqui, a 0-0 home draw with Cuniburo Vinotinto, a 0-3 loss at 9 de Octubre, a 0-1 loss at Deportivo Cuenca Juniors, and a 0-3 home loss to Atletico JBG Rojiblanco Guayaqui. They have failed to score in four of those five games.

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors have been inconsistent. Their last five results: a 1-1 draw at Cuniburo Vinotinto, a 0-2 home loss to Independiente Juniors, a 0-2 loss at Atletico JBG Rojiblanco Guayaqui, a 1-0 home win over San Antonio Cotacachi, and a 0-2 home loss to Cuniburo Vinotinto. That win against today's opponent is their only victory in this stretch.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met three times in recent Serie B history. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors lead the head-to-head with two wins to San Antonio Cotacachi's zero, along with one draw. The most recent encounter was on September 16, 2026, when Deportivo Cuenca Juniors won 1-0 at home. Earlier, on July 3, 2026, they also won 1-0 at home. The only meeting at San Antonio Cotacachi ended 1-1 on April 16, 2026.

• Sep 16, 2026: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1-0 San Antonio Cotacachi
• Jul 3, 2026: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1-0 San Antonio Cotacachi
• Apr 16, 2026: San Antonio Cotacachi 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca Juniors

League Table Positions

In the overall Serie B standings, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors sit 4th with 34 points (9 wins, 7 draws, 6 losses; goals 20:23). San Antonio Cotacachi are 6th with 31 points (7 wins, 10 draws, 5 losses; goals 24:21). The home/away splits reveal a key contrast: San Antonio are unbeaten at home this season (4 wins, 7 draws, 0 losses, 16:9 goals), while Deportivo Cuenca Juniors have the 2nd-best away record (4 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses, 9:13 goals).

Win Probability: San Antonio Cotacachi or Deportivo Cuenca Juniors?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: San Antonio Cotacachi 25%, Draw 40%, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 35%. This assessment is based on the available data – team form, head-to-head record, league table positions, and home/away factor.

San Antonio's strong home record (no defeats in 11 league games) normally gives them an edge, but their recent form is alarming, with four losses in five matches and a 0-3 home defeat in that run. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors have won the last two H2H meetings and are higher in the table, yet their away form is mixed. The high draw probability reflects San Antonio's tendency to draw at home (7 of 11 home games) and the 1-1 result in the only previous H2H at this venue. Overall, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors are slightly more likely to win, but a stalemate is the single most probable outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not currently available. Based on the stats, the most likely result is a draw. However, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors enter the match as the marginal favorite thanks to their superior head-to-head record and league standing. Our prediction: a low-scoring draw or a narrow away win. San Antonio Cotacachi's recent struggles in front of goal (only one goal in their last five matches) suggest a tight contest with under 2.5 total goals.